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Moradi, Mehdi
Publications (7 of 7) Show all publications
Cronie, O., Moradi, M. & Biscio, C. A. N. (2024). A cross-validation-based statistical theory for point processes. Biometrika, 111(2), 625-641
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A cross-validation-based statistical theory for point processes
2024 (English)In: Biometrika, ISSN 0006-3444, E-ISSN 1464-3510, Vol. 111, no 2, p. 625-641Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Motivated by the general ability of cross-validation to reduce overfitting and mean square error, we develop a cross-validation-based statistical theory for general point processes. It is based on the combination of two novel concepts for general point processes: cross-validation and prediction errors. Our cross-validation approach uses thinning to split a point process/pattern into pairs of training and validation sets, while our prediction errors measure discrepancy between two point processes. The new statistical approach, which may be used to model different distributional characteristics, exploits the prediction errors to measure how well a given model predicts validation sets using associated training sets. Having indicated that our new framework generalizes many existing statistical approaches, we then establish different theoretical properties for it, including large sample properties. We further recognize that nonparametric intensity estimation is an instance of Papangelou conditional intensity estimation, which we exploit to apply our new statistical theory to kernel intensity estimation. Using independent thinning-based cross-validation, we numerically show that the new approach substantially outperforms the state-of-the-art in bandwidth selection. Finally, we carry out intensity estimation for a dataset in forestry and a dataset in neurology.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Oxford University Press, 2024
Keywords
Kernel intensity estimation, Papangelou conditional intensity, Prediction, Spatial statistics, Thinning
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-218935 (URN)10.1093/biomet/asad041 (DOI)001076837500001 ()2-s2.0-85193377698 (Scopus ID)
Note

First published online: 27 June 2023

Errata: Correction to: 'A cross-validation-based statistical theory for point processes', Biometrika, Volume 111, Issue 1, March 2024, Page 365, https://doi.org/10.1093/biomet/asad077

Available from: 2024-01-03 Created: 2024-01-03 Last updated: 2024-06-10Bibliographically approved
Eckardt, M., Mateu, J. & Moradi, M. (2024). Function-valued marked spatial point processes on linear networks: application to urban cycling profiles. Stat, 13(4), Article ID e70013.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Function-valued marked spatial point processes on linear networks: application to urban cycling profiles
2024 (English)In: Stat, E-ISSN 2049-1573, Vol. 13, no 4, article id e70013Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In the literature on spatial point processes, there is an emerging challenge in studying marked point processes with points being labelled by functions. In this paper, we focus on point processes living on linear networks and, from distinct points of view, propose several mark summary characteristics that are of great use in studying the average association and dispersion of the function-valued marks. Through a simulation study, we evaluate the performance of our proposed mark summary characteristics, both when marks are independent and when some sort of spatial dependence is evident among them. Finally, we employ our proposed mark summary characteristics to study the spatial structure of urban cycling profiles in Vancouver, Canada.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
John Wiley & Sons, 2024
Keywords
bike-sharing data, mark correlation function, mark variogram, object-valued marks, Shimantani's i function, spatial point processes
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-231792 (URN)10.1002/sta4.70013 (DOI)001368796600001 ()2-s2.0-85208440535 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2024-11-22 Created: 2024-11-22 Last updated: 2025-04-24Bibliographically approved
Eckardt, M. & Moradi, M. (2024). Marked spatial point processes: current state and extensions to point processes on linear networks. Journal of Agricultural Biological and Environmental Statistics, 29, 346-378
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Marked spatial point processes: current state and extensions to point processes on linear networks
2024 (English)In: Journal of Agricultural Biological and Environmental Statistics, ISSN 1085-7117, E-ISSN 1537-2693, Vol. 29, p. 346-378Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Within the applications of spatial point processes, it is increasingly becoming common that events are labelled by marks, prompting an exploration beyond the spatial distribution of events by incorporating the marks in the undertaken analysis. In this paper, we first consider marked spatial point processes in R2, where marks are either integer-valued, real-valued, or object-valued, and review the state-of-the-art to analyze the spatial structure and type of interaction/correlation between marks. More specifically, we review cross/dot-type summary characteristics, mark-weighted summary characteristics, various mark correlation functions, and frequency domain approaches. We also propose novel cross/dot-type higher-order summary characteristics, mark-weighted summary characteristics, and mark correlation functions for marked point processes on linear networks. Through a simulation study, we show that ignoring the underlying network gives rise to erroneous conclusions about the interaction/correlation between marks. Finally, we consider two applications: the locations of two different proteins on the membranes of cells infected with the influenza virus and the locations of public trees along the street network of Vancouver, Canada, where trees are labelled by their diameters at breast height.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature, 2024
Keywords
Cross-type summary characteristics, Influenza virus, Mark correlation functions, Mark-weighted summary characteristics, Point spectra, Public street trees
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics Mathematics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-222858 (URN)10.1007/s13253-024-00605-1 (DOI)001191066000007 ()2-s2.0-85188558367 (Scopus ID)
Note

A commentary to this article is available at:

https://doi.org/10.1007/s13253-024-00609-x

https://doi.org/10.1007/s13253-024-00608-y

https://doi.org/10.1007/s13253-024-00610-4

https://doi.org/10.1007/s13253-024-00606-0

https://doi.org/10.1007/s13253-024-00607-z

Available from: 2024-04-17 Created: 2024-04-17 Last updated: 2024-06-25Bibliographically approved
Mateu, J. & Moradi, M. (2024). Non-parametric intensity estimation for spatial point patterns with R. In: Hassan Doosti (Ed.), Flexible nonparametric curve estimation: (pp. 113-151). Cham: Springer Nature
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Non-parametric intensity estimation for spatial point patterns with R
2024 (English)In: Flexible nonparametric curve estimation / [ed] Hassan Doosti, Cham: Springer Nature, 2024, p. 113-151Chapter in book (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

We consider several cases where one needs to estimate the (first-order) intensity function for different spatial point patterns on some state spaces such as. R2 and linear networks. Furthermore, we consider spatial point patterns on irregular windows, replicated point patterns, time-ordered point patterns, and trajectories. The use of various kernel- and Voronoi-based intensity estimators in R is largely discussed through several applications, including wildfires, (street) crimes, active fires, mineral flotation, war data, and taxi movements.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cham: Springer Nature, 2024
Keywords
Bandwidth, Curve estimation, Kernel, Linear network, Replicated point patterns, Time series, Trajectories, Voronoi
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-238825 (URN)10.1007/978-3-031-66501-1_6 (DOI)2-s2.0-105004484673 (Scopus ID)9783031665011 (ISBN)9783031665004 (ISBN)
Available from: 2025-05-19 Created: 2025-05-19 Last updated: 2025-05-19Bibliographically approved
Eckardt, M. & Moradi, M. (2024). Rejoinder on ‘Marked spatial point processes: current state and extensions to point processes on linear networks’ [Letter to the editor]. Journal of Agricultural Biological and Environmental Statistics, 29(2), 405-416
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Rejoinder on ‘Marked spatial point processes: current state and extensions to point processes on linear networks’
2024 (English)In: Journal of Agricultural Biological and Environmental Statistics, ISSN 1085-7117, E-ISSN 1537-2693, Vol. 29, no 2, p. 405-416Article in journal, Letter (Other academic) Published
Abstract [en]

We are grateful to all discussants for their invaluable comments, suggestions, questions, and contributions to our article. We have attentively reviewed all discussions with keen interest. In this rejoinder, our objective is to address and engage with all points raised by the discussants in a comprehensive and considerate manner. Consistently, we identify the discussants, in alphabetical order, as follows: CJK for Cronie, Jansson, and Konstantinou, DS for Stoyan, GP for Grabarnik and Pommerening, MRS for Myllymäki, Rajala, and Särkkä, and MCvL for van Lieshout throughout this rejoinder.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer, 2024
Keywords
Intensity, Mark filtering, Mark models, Mark space, Summary characteristics
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-223084 (URN)10.1007/s13253-024-00613-1 (DOI)001191066000006 ()2-s2.0-85189020727 (Scopus ID)
Funder
German Research Foundation (DFG), 467634837
Note

This article is response to commentaries for DOI:

10.1007/s13253-024-00606-0,

10.1007/s13253-024-00607-z

10.1007/s13253-024-00608-y

10.1007/s13253-024-00609-x

10.1007/s13253-024-00610-4

Available from: 2024-04-15 Created: 2024-04-15 Last updated: 2024-07-02Bibliographically approved
Moradi, M. & Sharifi, A. (2024). Summary statistics for spatio-temporal point processes on linear networks. Spatial Statistics, 61, Article ID 100840.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Summary statistics for spatio-temporal point processes on linear networks
2024 (English)In: Spatial Statistics, E-ISSN 2211-6753, Vol. 61, article id 100840Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We propose novel second/higher-order summary statistics for inhomogeneous spatio-temporal point processes when the spatial locations are limited to a linear network. More specifically, letting the spatial distance between events be measured by a regular distance metric, appropriate forms of 𝐾- and 𝐽-functions are introduced, and their theoretical relationships are studied. The theoretical forms of our proposed summary statistics are investigated under homogeneity, Poissonness, and independent thinning. Moreover, non-parametric estimators are derived, facilitating the use of our proposed summary statistics to study the spatio-temporal dependence between events. Through simulation studies, we demonstrate that our proposed 𝐽-function effectively identifies spatio-temporal clustering, inhibition, and randomness. Finally, we examine spatio-temporal dependencies for street crimes in Valencia, Spain, and traffic accidents in New York, USA.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2024
Keywords
Higher-order summary statistics, Intensity reweighted pseudostationary, Regular distance, Spatio-temporal data, Spatio-temporal dependence, Thinning
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Research subject
Statistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-223921 (URN)10.1016/j.spasta.2024.100840 (DOI)001240280700001 ()2-s2.0-85192262577 (Scopus ID)
Funder
The Kempe Foundations, JCSMK22-0111
Available from: 2024-05-01 Created: 2024-05-01 Last updated: 2025-04-24Bibliographically approved
Moradi, M., Cronie, O., Pérez-Goya, U. & Mateu, J. (2023). Hierarchical spatio-temporal change-point detection. American Statistician, 77(4), 390-400
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Hierarchical spatio-temporal change-point detection
2023 (English)In: American Statistician, ISSN 0003-1305, E-ISSN 1537-2731, Vol. 77, no 4, p. 390-400Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Detecting change-points in multivariate settings is usually carried out by analyzing all marginals either independently, via univariate methods, or jointly, through multivariate approaches. The former discards any inherent dependencies between different marginals and the latter may suffer from domination/masking among different change-points of distinct marginals. As a remedy, we propose an approach which groups marginals with similar temporal behaviors, and then performs group-wise multivariate change-point detection. Our approach groups marginals based on hierarchical clustering using distances which adjust for inherent dependencies. Through a simulation study we show that our approach, by preventing domination/masking, significantly enhances the general performance of the employed multivariate change-point detection method. Finally, we apply our approach to two datasets: (i) Land Surface Temperature in Spain, during the years 2000–2021, and (ii) The WikiLeaks Afghan War Diary data.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Taylor & Francis, 2023
Keywords
Clustering, Functional data, Land surface temperature, Multivariate analysis, Point patterns, Satellite images, Trace-variogram
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-206941 (URN)10.1080/00031305.2023.2191670 (DOI)000969294600001 ()2-s2.0-85152437334 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2023-04-27 Created: 2023-04-27 Last updated: 2024-01-12Bibliographically approved
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