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Objectives: To assess completeness and accuracy of the family folder in terms of capturing community-level health data.

Study design: A capture–recapture method was applied in six randomly selected districts of Tigray Region, Ethiopia.

Participants: Child health data, abstracted from randomly selected 24 073 family folders from 99 health posts, were compared with similar data recaptured through household survey and routine health information made by these health posts.

Primary and secondary outcome measures: Completeness and accuracy of the family folder data; and coverage selected child health indicators, respectively.

Results: Demographic data captured by the family folders and household survey were highly concordant, concordance correlation for total population, women 15–49 years age and under 5-year child were 0.97 (95% CI 0.94 to 0.99, p<0.001), 0.73 (95% CI 0.67 to 0.88) and 0.91 (95% CI 0.85 to 0.96), respectively. However, the live births, child health service indicators and child health events were more erratically reported in the three data sources. The concordance correlation among the three sources, for live births and neonatal deaths was 0.094 (95% CI −0.232 to 0.420) and 0.092 (95% CI −0.230 to 0.423) respectively, and for the other parameters were close to 0.

Conclusion: The family folder system comprises a promising development. However, operational issues concerning the seamless capture and recording of events and merging community and facility data at the health centre level need improvement.

Aims: Between 1985 and 1996, Sweden experienced an "epidemic" of celiac disease with a fourfold increase in incidence in young children. Timing and amount of gluten introduced during infancy have been thought to explain this "epidemic". We aimed to study whether the cumulative incidence of type 1 diabetes differs between children born during the "epidemic" compared to children born after.

Methods: This is a national register study in Sweden comparing the cumulative incidence of type 1 diabetes in two birth cohorts of 240 844 children 0-17 years old born 1992-1993, during the "epidemic", and 179 530 children born 1997-1998, after the "epidemic". Children diagnosed with type 1 diabetes were identified using three national registers.

Results: The cumulative incidence of type 1 diabetes by the age of 17 was statistically significantly higher in those born after the "epidemic" 0.77% than in those born during the "epidemic" 0.68% (p < 0.001).

Conclusion: The incidence of type 1 diabetes is higher in those born after the epidemic compared to those born during the epidemic, which does not support the hypothesis that gluten introduction increases the incidence of T1D. Changes in gluten introduction did not halt the increased incidence of type 1 diabetes in Sweden.

Monitoring adherence to a gluten-free diet is an important goal of coeliac disease management. Urine and stool gluten immunogenic peptide (GIP) assays provide an objective readout of gluten ingestion, with the former favoured due to its convenience and acceptability. This study assessed stool GIP excretion after low-dose gluten challenge designed to mimic accidental gluten exposure. A total of 52 coeliac participants undertook a randomised, double-blind gluten (50–1000 mg) or placebo challenge. Stool and urinary GIP, serology, dietary adherence and symptoms were assessed. Stool GIP was 100% sensitive for gluten intake ≥250 mg and 71% for 50 mg. Peak GIP detection was 12–36 h after gluten exposure. The mean stool GIP after 1000 mg gluten ingestion remained above the limit of quantification for 5 days. Urine GIP assessment had poor sensitivity for GIP excretion compared to stool. Serology, dietary adherence score and symptoms did not correlate with gluten excretion during lead-in. We conclude that stool GIP detection is highly sensitive, with levels related to gluten dose and time from ingestion. Weekly or bi-weekly testing will detect low-level exposure more effectively than urine GIP assessments or traditional methods. In this seronegative, apparently well-treated cohort, a high frequency of baseline-positive GIP suggests ongoing gluten exposure, but the assessment of patient behaviour and assay specificity is needed.

BACKGROUND: Both undiagnosed celiac disease and some chronic childhood diseases are associated with lower academic achievement. However, there is little knowledge of achievements in those diagnosed with celiac disease. Our aim was to investigate school achievements in upper secondary school among Swedish adolescents with celiac disease.

METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study using register data. We analyzed choice of upper secondary school program, completion of upper secondary school including achievements of basic eligibility for college/university, and final grade in individuals with celiac disease diagnosed before 15 years of age, born 1991-97. We compared with the Swedish population of the same birth years. Analyses were adjusted for sex, year of birth, living region at 17 years of age, and parental education as well as income.

RESULTS: The cohort included 734 074 individuals, whereof 3 257 (62% females) with celiac disease. There was no significant difference in choice of upper secondary school program. No significant difference was found in completion or achieving basic eligibility for college/university in adjusted analyses. The mean final grade in the celiac disease group was 13.34 (standard deviation 4.85) compared to 12.78 (standard deviation 5.01) in the reference population (p < 0.001), out of a maximum of 20. The effect of celiac disease on final grade remained in adjusted analyses (p = 0.012).

CONCLUSIONS: We found that diagnosed celiac disease does not negatively affect school achievements in upper secondary school. This finding suggests the diagnosis, treatment and follow-up programs of celiac disease could reverse potential deleterious academic processes.

OBJECTIVE: We previously performed a population-based mass screening of coeliac disease in children aged 12 years in two birth cohorts resulting in 296 seropositive children, of whom 242 were diagnosed with coeliac disease after duodenal biopsies. In this follow-up study, we wanted to identify new cases in the screening population that tested negative-either converting from potential coeliac disease (seropositive but normal duodenal mucosa) or converting from seronegative at screening to diagnosed coeliac disease.

METHODS: All seropositive children were invited to a follow-up appointment 5 years after the screening with renewed serological testing and recommended endoscopic investigation if seropositive. Seronegative children in the screening study (n=12 353) were linked to the National Swedish Childhood Coeliac Disease Register to find cases diagnosed in healthcare during the same period.

RESULTS: In total, 230 (77%) came to the follow-up appointment, including 34 of 39 with potential coeliac disease. Of these, 11 (32%) had converted to coeliac disease. One new case was found in the National Swedish Childhood Coeliac Disease Register who received the diagnosis through routine screening in children with type 1 diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS: There is a high risk of conversion to coeliac disease among those with potential disease. However, a negative screening test was associated with a very low risk for a clinical diagnosis within a follow-up period of 5 years.

Coeliac disease (CD) is one of the most common chronic diseases of childhood. Follow-up of CD aims to ensure dietary adherence and prevent disease complications, but there are few real-world data on how its management in children is conducted. This study aimed to survey the follow-up practice of pediatric CD in Western Sweden. Two web-based surveys were distributed to all 22 pediatric outpatient clinics rendering answers from 48 physicians and 12 dietitians. Overall, clinical practice was similar throughout the region and in line with national and international CD guidelines, including an annual to biannually follow-up frequency and dietary adherence assessment through unstructured interviewing and serology measurements. The study identified possible areas of improvement, such as implementing a formal transition process to adult care and the use of validated questionaries to assess dietary adherence. Additionally, a positive attitude towards electronic-health technologies (eHealth) as part of CD follow-up was identified.

OBJECTIVE: Gastrointestinal problems are often seen in children with cerebral palsy, although the etiology and underlying mechanisms are not fully understood. Recent data point to significantly elevated levels of IgG antibody to dietary gluten in cerebral palsy independent of celiac disease, a gluten-mediated autoimmune enteropathy. We aimed to further characterize this antibody response by examining its subclass distribution and target reactivity in the context of relevant patient symptom profile.

METHODS: Study participants included children with cerebral palsy (n = 70) and celiac disease (n = 85), as well as unaffected controls (n = 30). Serum IgG antibody to gluten was investigated for subclass distribution, pattern of reactivity towards target proteins, and relationship with gastrointestinal symptoms and motor function.

RESULTS: The anti-gluten IgG antibody response in the cerebral palsy cohort was comprised of all four subclasses. However, in comparison with celiac disease, IgG1, IgG2, and IgG3 subclasses were significantly lower, whereas the IgG4 response was significantly higher in cerebral palsy. Within the cohort of cerebral palsy patients, levels of anti-gluten IgG1, IgG3, and IgG4 were greater in those with gastrointestinal symptoms, and the IgG3 subclass antibody correlated inversely with gross motor function. The anti-gluten IgG antibodies targeted a broad range of gliadin and glutenin proteins.

CONCLUSION: These findings reveal an anti-gluten IgG subclass distribution in cerebral palsy that is significantly different from that in celiac disease. Furthermore, the observed association between IgG subclass and symptom profile is suggestive of a relationship between the immune response and disease pathophysiology that may indicate a role for defects in gut immune and barrier function in cerebral palsy.

BACKGROUND: Electroconvulsive therapy (ECT) has long been used for treating individuals with treatment-resistant depression (TRD). Esketamine has recently emerged as a new treatment for TRD due to its rapid antidepressant effects. To further inform the decision regarding choice of treatment, this paper aims to evaluate whether ECT or esketamine is the more cost-effective option.

METHODS: The cost-effectiveness was derived as cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) using a Markov model from a societal and life-time perspective. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated. Health states included different depression and remission states and death. Data to populate the model was derived from randomised controlled trials and other research. Various sensitivity analyses were carried out to test the robustness of the model.

RESULTS: The base case scenario shows that ECT is cost-effective compared to esketamine and yields more QALYs at a lower cost. The sensitivity analysis shows that ECT is cost-effective in all scenarios and ECT dominates esketamine in 12 scenarios.

CONCLUSIONS: This study found that, from a cost-effectiveness point of view, ECT should be the first-hand option for individuals with TRD, when other first line treatments have failed. Considering the lack of economic evaluation of ECT and esketamine, this study is of great value to decision makers.

AIM: The aim of our study was to examine whether there is a difference in coeliac disease prevalence in regard to parents' education level and occupation, and whether this differs between screened and clinically diagnosed children at the age of 12 years.

METHODS: The study, Exploring the Iceberg of Celiacs in Sweden (ETICS), was a school-based screening study of 12-year-old children that was undertaken during the school years 2005/2006 and 2009/2010. Data on parental education and occupation were reported from parents of the children. Specifically, by parents of 10 710 children without coeliac disease, 88 children diagnosed with coeliac disease through clinical care, and 231 who were diagnosed during the study.

RESULTS: There were no statistically significant associations between occupation and coeliac disease for either the clinically detected (prevalence ratio 1.16; confidence interval 0.76-1.76) or screening-detected coeliac disease cases (prevalence ratio 0.86; confidence interval 0.66-1.12) in comparison with children with no coeliac disease. Also, there were no statistically significant associations for parental education and coeliac disease diagnosis.

CONCLUSION: There was no apparent relationship between coeliac disease and socio-economic position. Using parents' socio-economic status as a tool to help identify children more likely to have coeliac disease is not recommended.

Background: Living with undiagnosed symptomatic coeliac disease is connected with deteriorated health, and persons with coeliac disease often wait a long time for their diagnosis. A mass screening would lower the delay, but its cost-effectiveness is still unclear. Our aim was to determine the cost-effectiveness of a coeliac disease mass screening at 12 years of age, taking a life course perspective on future benefits and drawbacks.

Methods: The cost-effectiveness was derived as cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) using a Markov model. As a basis for our assumptions, we mainly used information from the Exploring the Iceberg of Celiacs in Sweden (ETICS) study, a school-based screening conducted in 2005/2006 and 2009/2010, where 13,279 12-year-old children participated and 240 were diagnosed with coeliac disease, and a study involving members of the Swedish Coeliac Association with 1031 adult participants.

Results: The cost for coeliac disease screening was 40,105 Euro per gained QALY. Sensitivity analyses support screening based on high compliance to a gluten-free diet, rapid progression from symptom-free coeliac disease to coeliac disease with symptoms, long delay from celiac disease with symptoms to diagnosis, and a low QALY score for undiagnosed coeliac disease cases.

Conclusions: A coeliac disease mass screening is cost-effective based on the commonly used threshold of 50,000 Euro per gained QALY. However, this is based on many assumptions, especially regarding the natural history of coeliac disease and the effects on long-term health for individuals with coeliac disease still eating gluten.