Open this publication in new window or tab >>Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden.
Department of Ecology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences, Uppsala, Sweden.
Department of Veterinary Microbiology, Western College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Saskatchewan, SK, Saskatoon, Canada.
Greenland Center for Health Research, Ilisimatusarfik-University of Greenland, Nuuk, Greenland; Department of Epidemiology Research, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Department of Philosophy and Sociology, Northern Arctic Federal University, Arkhangelsk, Russian Federation.
School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom.
Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland.
Department of Natural Sciences, Murmansk Arctic State University, Murmansk, Russian Federation.
Greenland Center for Health Research, Ilisimatusarfik-University of Greenland, Nuuk, Greenland.
Umeå University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Epidemiology and Global Health. Umeå University, Faculty of Arts, Várdduo – Centre for Sámi Research.
Department of Chemistry, Environment and Feed Hygiene, National Veterinary Institute, Uppsala, Sweden.
Central Research Institute of Epidemiology, Moscow, Russian Federation.
School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, United Kingdom.
Arctic Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland; Thule Institute, University of the Arctic, Oulu, Finland.
Institute of Economic Forecasting, Russian Academy of Science, Moscow, Russian Federation.
Umeå University, Faculty of Science and Technology, Department of Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics.
Umeå University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Clinical Microbiology.
Laboratory of Zoonoses, St Petersburg Pasteur Institute, St Petersburg, Russian Federation.
Department of Energy and Technology, Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences SLU, Uppsala, Sweden.
Faculty of Geography, Lomonosov Moscow State University, Moscow, Russian Federation.
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2021 (English)In: Polar Record, ISSN 0032-2474, E-ISSN 1475-3057, Vol. 57, article id e39Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]
Climate warming is occurring most rapidly in the Arctic, which is both a sentinel and a driver of further global change. Ecosystems and human societies are already affected by warming. Permafrost thaws and species are on the move, bringing pathogens and vectors to virgin areas. During a five-year project, the CLINF - a Nordic Center of Excellence, funded by the Nordic Council of Ministers, has worked with the One Health concept, integrating environmental data with human and animal disease data in predictive models and creating maps of dynamic processes affecting the spread of infectious diseases. It is shown that tularemia outbreaks can be predicted even at a regional level with a manageable level of uncertainty. To decrease uncertainty, rapid development of new and harmonised technologies and databases is needed from currently highly heterogeneous data sources. A major source of uncertainty for the future of contaminants and infectious diseases in the Arctic, however, is associated with which paths the majority of the globe chooses to follow in the future. Diplomacy is one of the most powerful tools Arctic nations have to influence these choices of other nations, supported by Arctic science and One Health approaches that recognise the interconnection between people, animals, plants and their shared environment at the local, regional, national and global levels as essential for achieving a sustainable development for both the Arctic and the globe.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cambridges Institutes Press, 2021
National Category
Climate Research
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-189220 (URN)10.1017/S0032247421000589 (DOI)000721257900001 ()2-s2.0-85118198981 (Scopus ID)
2021-11-122021-11-122023-09-05Bibliographically approved