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AI-augmented analysis onto the impact of the containment strategies and climate change to pandemic
Umeå University, Faculty of Science and Technology, Department of Computing Science.
2023 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (One Year)), 20 credits / 30 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

This thesis uses a multi-tasking long short-term memory (LSTM) model to investigate the correlation between containment strategies, climate change, and the number of COVID-19 transmissions and deaths. The study focuses on examining the accuracy of different factors in predicting the number of daily confirmed cases and deaths cases to further explore the correlation between different factors and cases.

The initial assessment results suggest that containment strategies, specifically vaccination policies, have a more significant impact on the accuracy of predicting daily confirmed cases and deaths from COVID-19 compared to climate factors such as the daily average surface 2-meter temperature. Additionally, the study reveals that there are unpredictable effects on predictive accuracy resulting from the interactions among certain impact factors.

However, the lack of interpretability of deep learning models poses a significant challenge for real-world applications. This study provides valuable insights into understanding the correlation between the number of daily confirmed cases, daily deaths, containment strategies, and climate change, and highlights areas for further research. It is important to note that while the study reveals a correlation, it does not imply causation, and further research is needed to understand the trends of the pandemic.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2023. , p. 46
Series
UMNAD ; 1416
Keywords [en]
LSTM, Deep learning, Multi-task learning
National Category
Engineering and Technology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-210361OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-210361DiVA, id: diva2:1771678
Subject / course
Degree Project
Educational program
Master of Science (one year) in Computing Science
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2023-06-28 Created: 2023-06-20 Last updated: 2023-06-28Bibliographically approved

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf