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Evaluation of pre-diagnostic blood protein measurements for predicting survival after lung cancer diagnosis
Genomic Epidemiology Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, MRC-PHE, Centre for Environment and Health, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom.
Genomic Epidemiology Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Genomic Epidemiology Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
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2023 (English)In: EBioMedicine, E-ISSN 2352-3964, Vol. 92, article id 104623Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Background: To evaluate whether circulating proteins are associated with survival after lung cancer diagnosis, and whether they can improve prediction of prognosis.

Methods: We measured up to 1159 proteins in blood samples from 708 participants in 6 cohorts. Samples were collected within 3 years prior to lung cancer diagnosis. We used Cox proportional hazards models to identify proteins associated with overall mortality after lung cancer diagnosis. To evaluate model performance, we used a round-robin approach in which models were fit in 5 cohorts and evaluated in the 6th cohort. Specifically, we fit a model including 5 proteins and clinical parameters and compared its performance with clinical parameters only.

Findings: There were 86 proteins nominally associated with mortality (p < 0.05), but only CDCP1 remained statistically significant after accounting for multiple testing (hazard ratio per standard deviation: 1.19, 95% CI: 1.10–1.30, unadjusted p = 0.00004). The external C-index for the protein-based model was 0.63 (95% CI: 0.61–0.66), compared with 0.62 (95% CI: 0.59–0.64) for the model with clinical parameters only. Inclusion of proteins did not provide a statistically significant improvement in discrimination (C-index difference: 0.015, 95% CI: −0.003 to 0.035).

Interpretation: Blood proteins measured within 3 years prior to lung cancer diagnosis were not strongly associated with lung cancer survival, nor did they importantly improve prediction of prognosis beyond clinical information.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2023. Vol. 92, article id 104623
Keywords [en]
Lung cancer, Lung cancer prognosis, Lung cancer survival, Protein biomarkers
National Category
Cancer and Oncology
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-211165DOI: 10.1016/j.ebiom.2023.104623ISI: 001009311900001PubMedID: 37236058Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85162215164OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-211165DiVA, id: diva2:1778778
Funder
Cancerforskningsfonden i Norrland, AMP19-962Available from: 2023-07-03 Created: 2023-07-03 Last updated: 2023-07-03Bibliographically approved

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Johansson, Mikael

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