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Identification of potential mediators of the relationship between body mass index and colorectal cancer: a Mendelian randomization analysis
Department of Hygiene and Epidemiology, University of Ioannina School of Medicine, Ioannina, Greece.
Chief Scientific Advisor Office, Research and Early Development, Novo Nordisk, Copenhagen, Denmark; Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Imperial College London, School of Public Health, London, United Kingdom.
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Imperial College London, School of Public Health, London, United Kingdom.
Nutrition and Metabolism Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
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2024 (English)In: International Journal of Epidemiology, ISSN 0300-5771, E-ISSN 1464-3685, Vol. 53, no 3, article id dyae067Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is the third-most-common cancer worldwide and its rates are increasing. Elevated body mass index (BMI) is an established risk factor for CRC, although the molecular mechanisms behind this association remain unclear. Using the Mendelian randomization (MR) framework, we aimed to investigate the mediating effects of putative biomarkers and other CRC risk factors in the association between BMI and CRC.

Methods: We selected as mediators biomarkers of established cancer-related mechanisms and other CRC risk factors for which a plausible association with obesity exists, such as inflammatory biomarkers, glucose homeostasis traits, lipids, adipokines, insulin-like growth factor 1 (IGF1), sex hormones, 25-hydroxy-vitamin D, smoking, physical activity (PA) and alcohol consumption. We used inverse-variance weighted MR in the main univariable analyses and performed sensitivity analyses (weighted-median, MR–Egger, Contamination Mixture). We used multivariable MR for the mediation analyses.

Results: Genetically predicted BMI was positively associated with CRC risk [odds ratio per SD (5 kg/m2) ¼ 1.17, 95% CI: 1.08–1.24, P-value ¼ 1.4 × 10−5] and robustly associated with nearly all potential mediators. Genetically predicted IGF1, fasting insulin, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, smoking, PA and alcohol were associated with CRC risk. Evidence for attenuation was found for IGF1 [explained 7% (95% CI: 2–13%) of the association], smoking (31%, 4–57%) and PA (7%, 2–11%). There was little evidence for pleiotropy, although smoking was bidirectionally associated with BMI and instruments were weak for PA.

Conclusions: The effect of BMI on CRC risk is possibly partly mediated through plasma IGF1, whereas the attenuation of the BMI–CRC association by smoking and PA may reflect confounding and shared underlying mechanisms rather than mediation.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Oxford University Press, 2024. Vol. 53, no 3, article id dyae067
Keywords [en]
BMI, Body mass index, colorectal cancer, CRC, mediation analysis, Mendelian randomization, obesity
National Category
Cancer and Oncology Public Health, Global Health and Social Medicine
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-225322DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyae067ISI: 001217635900002PubMedID: 38725300Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85192855641OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-225322DiVA, id: diva2:1865294
Available from: 2024-06-04 Created: 2024-06-04 Last updated: 2025-02-20Bibliographically approved

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van Guelpen, Bethany

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