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On the effects of physical climate risks on the Chinese energy sector
Umeå University, Faculty of Science and Technology, Department of Mathematics and Mathematical Statistics. Adam Smith Business School—Economics, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom; HINN Lillehammer, Lillehammer, Norway.
Adam Smith Business School—Economics, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, United Kingdom.
Beijing Climate Centre, Beijing, China.
2024 (English)In: Journal of Risk and Financial Management, E-ISSN 1911-8074, Vol. 17, no 10, article id 458Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We examine the impact of physical climate risks on energy markets in China, distinguishing between traditional energy and new energy stock markets, and the energy commodity market, utilizing a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model with stochastic volatility (TVP-SV-VAR). Specifically, we investigate the dynamic effects of five specific subtypes of physical climate risks, namely waterlogging by rain, drought, typhoon, cryogenic freezing, and high temperature, on WTI oil prices and coal prices. The findings reveal that these physical climate risks exhibit time-varying similar effects on the returns of traditional energy and new energy stocks, but heterogeneous effects on the returns of WTI oil prices and coal prices. Finally, we categorize and examine the impact of both acute and chronic physical risks on the energy commodity market.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
MDPI, 2024. Vol. 17, no 10, article id 458
Keywords [en]
climate risk, commodities, energy markets, TVP-SV-VAR model
National Category
Climate Science Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-231359DOI: 10.3390/jrfm17100458Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85207520974OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-231359DiVA, id: diva2:1912110
Note

This article belongs to the Special Issue Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Models, Energy Policy, and Climate Change Adaptation

Available from: 2024-11-11 Created: 2024-11-11 Last updated: 2025-02-01Bibliographically approved

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Ewald, Christian Oliver

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CiteExportLink to record
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  • apa
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