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Assessing the Impact of Climate Changes on Crop Yields in Sweden: A Time-Series Analysis
Umeå University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Umeå School of Business and Economics (USBE), Economics.
2024 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (One Year)), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

Climate change poses a significant effect on agriculture productivity worldwide. This study aims to assess the impact of climate changes on crop yields in Sweden using annual time series data from 1970 to 2021. Crop production is influenced not only by climatic factors like precipitation and temperature but also by non-climatic factors. To explore these additional influences, factors such as CO2 emissions from agriculture, fertilizer consumption (representing technological advancements), and food imports (reflecting relative advantages) were included in the analysis to better understand their relationships with crop production. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) bounds technique for cointegration is employed as the statistical method for the analysis, to uncover the complex interplay between environmental factors and agricultural outcomes. The findings indicate a significant positive impact of precipitation, temperature, and fertilizer consumption on crop production, while CO2 emissions from agriculture and food imports show a negative effect.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2024.
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-236301OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-236301DiVA, id: diva2:1943273
Available from: 2025-03-10 Created: 2025-03-10 Last updated: 2025-03-10Bibliographically approved

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

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Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
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  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf