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Publications (10 of 20) Show all publications
Zhang, X., Xia, Y., Zhang, C., Liu, B., Wang, C., Fang, H. & Wang, J. (2025). A prediction model for dyke-dam piping based on data augmentation and interpretable ensemble learning. Engineering Failure Analysis, 182, Article ID 110174.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A prediction model for dyke-dam piping based on data augmentation and interpretable ensemble learning
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2025 (English)In: Engineering Failure Analysis, ISSN 1350-6307, E-ISSN 1873-1961, Vol. 182, article id 110174Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Piping is one of the most common and hazardous issue in dyke and dam engineering, posing challenges for dyke and dam stability and risk assessments. In this study, an interpretable ensemble learning prediction model of dyke and dam piping was proposed based on the Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique (SMOTE) method and Ensemble Learning (EL) algorithm with a dataset collected from Yangtze River. Initially, the piping dataset was visualized using the violin diagram, and the SMOTE method was adopted to augment the imbalanced dataset. Then, t-distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding (t-SEN) method and Pearson correlation coefficient were used to consider the similarity between the newly generated samples and the original samples, which verify the effectiveness of the data augmentation. Subsequently, based on the augmented dataset, six EL algorithms were employed to establish the regression prediction model of piping. Through comprehensive comparison, the SMOTE-Categorical Boosting (SMOTE-CatBoost) model exhibits superior prediction accuracy and lower calculation cost, with a goodness of fit (R2) of 0.9886 and a Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of 0.05334, making it the ideal prediction model for dyke and dam piping. Additionally, an Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) model of piping was developed, and it was found that the thickness of overburden thickness of weak permeable layer (H), void ratio (e), water level height difference (Δh), and compression coefficient (av) are the four primary influencing factors of piping. The research offers valuable reference for the advance monitoring of dyke and dam piping risk, and contributes to the sustainable maintenance of dyke and dam engineering structures.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2025
Keywords
Data augmentation, Dyke and dam piping, Ensemble learning, Imbalanced dataset, Interpretable machine learning
National Category
Water Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-245498 (URN)10.1016/j.engfailanal.2025.110174 (DOI)001589022300001 ()2-s2.0-105017850995 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-10-21 Created: 2025-10-21 Last updated: 2025-10-21Bibliographically approved
Zhang, X., Xia, Y., Zhang, C., Wang, C., Liu, B. & Fang, H. (2025). An archimedes optimization algorithm based extreme gradient boosting model for predicting the bending strength of UV cured glass fiber reinforced polymer composites. Polymer Composites
Open this publication in new window or tab >>An archimedes optimization algorithm based extreme gradient boosting model for predicting the bending strength of UV cured glass fiber reinforced polymer composites
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2025 (English)In: Polymer Composites, ISSN 0272-8397, E-ISSN 1548-0569Article in journal (Refereed) Epub ahead of print
Abstract [en]

Ultraviolet-cured glass fiber reinforced polymer (UV-GFRP) composites are widely used in cured-in-place pipe (CIPP) repair technology for buried pipelines. The bending strength is the key indicator for assessing repair quality, which is affected by multiple factors but lacks effective prediction methods yet. In this paper, a prediction model for the bending strength of UV-GFRP composites based on the archimedes optimization algorithm (AOA) combined with the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) algorithm is proposed, incorporating material structure design and curing parameters. Through hyperparameter optimization, robustness analysis, and sensitivity analysis, the model's performance and reliability are thoroughly evaluated. The results show that the AOA-XGBoost model achieves highly accurate prediction, with an R2 of 0.906 on the test set, outperforming the backpropagation neural network optimized by genetic algorithm (GA-BPNN), support vector regression optimized by particle swarm optimization (PSO-SVR), random forest regression (RFR), gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), and XGBoost. Notably, the model maintains stable predictions even under noise conditions of up to 10%. Sensitivity analysis reveals that fiber volume fraction (+0.338), glass fiber architecture (+0.205), and density (+0.178) have the most significant effect on the bending strength of UV-GFRP composites, which can be optimized to enhance material properties. Although curing parameters have a relatively smaller effect, careful adjustment is essential to prevent over-polymerization and degradation of material properties.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
John Wiley & Sons, 2025
Keywords
Archimedes optimization algorithm, bending strength prediction, machine learning, sensitivity analysis, UV-GRFP composites
National Category
Composite Science and Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-245638 (URN)10.1002/pc.70421 (DOI)001564378700001 ()2-s2.0-105015357252 (Scopus ID)
Available from: 2025-10-16 Created: 2025-10-16 Last updated: 2025-10-16
Liu, B., Liu, P., Han, O., Lu, W. & Olofsson, T. (2025). Comparative analysis of heat transfer in polyurethane with phase change materials: advancing multi-scale modeling for energy efficiency. In: : . Paper presented at Healthy Buildings Europe 2025 Conference, Reykjavík, Iceland, June 8-11, 2025.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Comparative analysis of heat transfer in polyurethane with phase change materials: advancing multi-scale modeling for energy efficiency
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2025 (English)Conference paper, Oral presentation only (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Polyurethane (PU) as a popular polymer is widely recognized for its exceptional thermal insulation properties, making it a critical material for applications requiring effective heat transfer management. Integrating Phase Change Materials (PCMs) into PU (PU-PCMs) has emerged as a highly effective strategy for enhancing building envelope performance, ensuring greater indoor thermal stability, and mitigating temperature fluctuations. This study introduces an Enhanced Multi-Scale Modeling approach to investigate the thermal conductivity and energy efficiency of PU-PCMs, with a particular focus on their comparative performance in subarctic and tropical climates. By combining Molecular Dynamics (MD) simulations with Finite Element Methods (FEM), the model seamlessly bridges molecular-scale interactions with macroscopic thermal behavior. Using a Representative Volume Element (RVE)-FEM framework, microscopic properties are translated into engineering-scale parameters, enabling accurate and efficient predictions of material performance across diverse climatic conditions. The findings demonstrate the capability of PU-PCMs to significantly enhance energy efficiency and indoor thermal comfort. In a case study of a single-family house, PU-PCMs achieved a 7.376% reduction in energy consumption and increased comfort hours under Stockholm's subarctic climate. Moreover, the adaptability of PU-PCMs was validated in both tropical and subarctic environments, consistently stabilizing indoor temperatures, reducing HVAC energy demands, and improving occupant comfort. These results underscore the potential of PU-PCMs as a passive thermal management solution, advancing sustainable building practices. The proposed multi-scale model offers a computationally efficient and precise tool for optimizing material design in energy-sensitive applications, reinforcing the versatility and significance of PU-PCMs across a range of climatic conditions.

Keywords
Phase change materials (PCMs), Muli-scale modelling, Building energy, Indoor thermal comfort
National Category
Energy Engineering Building materials Composite Science and Engineering Solid and Structural Mechanics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-241917 (URN)
Conference
Healthy Buildings Europe 2025 Conference, Reykjavík, Iceland, June 8-11, 2025
Funder
Swedish Energy Agency, P2021-00248The Royal Swedish Academy of Agriculture and Forestry (KSLA), GFS2023-0131, BYG2023- 0007, GFS2024-0155J. Gust. Richert stiftelse, 2023-00884Swedish Research Council Formas, 2022-01475The Kempe Foundations
Available from: 2025-07-03 Created: 2025-07-03 Last updated: 2025-07-07Bibliographically approved
Liu, B. (2025). Data-driven stochastic multiscale modeling of polymer nanocomposites: from theoretical simulation to experimental application. In: : . Paper presented at DACOMA2025, Data driven computing and machine learning, Beijing, China, October 10-12, 2025.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Data-driven stochastic multiscale modeling of polymer nanocomposites: from theoretical simulation to experimental application
2025 (English)Conference paper, Oral presentation only (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Nanoreinforced polymer composites have been widely investigated and developed due to their excellent physical and chemical properties, and they have been broadly applied in aerospace engineering, microelectronic packaging, and electronic and semiconductor devices. In recent years, numerous studies have focused on quantifying the influence of nanoscale fillers on the performance of these composites. However, deterministic models often overlook material uncertainties, and stochastic multiscale modeling is computationally expensive. With the advancement of high-performance computing, machine learning—well-known for its efficient modeling capabilities—has become increasingly popular for addressing these uncertainties.

Based on this motivation, we developed a multiscale and multi-tier framework that integrates theoretical modeling with experimental applications. Functional nanocomposites are designed from the micro- to macro-scale according to engineering requirements, followed by laboratory testing of their properties. The tested materials are then deployed in real environments for field measurements and application validation. The results demonstrate that this multiscale and multi-tier framework is capable of designing optimal materials tailored to engineering needs while enabling a seamless transition from theoretical simulation to experimental implementation for polymer nanocomposites.

Our study highlights an effective pathway for the design and development of nanoreinforced polymer composites through a multiscale and multi-tier strategy, allowing them to better meet practical engineering demands. This approach provides new ideas and tools for the future design and development of intelligent advanced materials and is expected to further promote the application and evolution of functional nanocomposites across various fields.

National Category
Composite Science and Engineering Applied Mechanics Solid and Structural Mechanics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-246720 (URN)
Conference
DACOMA2025, Data driven computing and machine learning, Beijing, China, October 10-12, 2025
Available from: 2025-11-22 Created: 2025-11-22 Last updated: 2025-11-24Bibliographically approved
Liu, B., Liu, P., Lu, W. & Olofsson, T. (2025). Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) for material design and engineering applications: a quantitative computational framework. International Journal of Mechanical System Dynamics, 5(2), 236-265
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) for material design and engineering applications: a quantitative computational framework
2025 (English)In: International Journal of Mechanical System Dynamics, ISSN 2767-1399, Vol. 5, no 2, p. 236-265Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The advancement of artificial intelligence (AI) in material design and engineering has led to significant improvements in predictive modeling of material properties. However, the lack of interpretability in machine learning (ML)-based material informatics presents a major barrier to its practical adoption. This study proposes a novel quantitative computational framework that integrates ML models with explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) techniques to enhance both predictive accuracy and interpretability in material property prediction. The framework systematically incorporates a structured pipeline, including data processing, feature selection, model training, performance evaluation, explainability analysis, and real-world deployment. It is validated through a representative case study on the prediction of high-performance concrete (HPC) compressive strength, utilizing a comparative analysis of ML models such as Random Forest, XGBoost, Support Vector Regression (SVR), and Deep Neural Networks (DNNs). The results demonstrate that XGBoost achieves the highest predictive performance ((Formula presented.)), while SHAP (Shapley Additive Explanations) and LIME (Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations) provide detailed insights into feature importance and material interactions. Additionally, the deployment of the trained model as a cloud-based Flask-Gunicorn API enables real-time inference, ensuring its scalability and accessibility for industrial and research applications. The proposed framework addresses key limitations of existing ML approaches by integrating advanced explainability techniques, systematically handling nonlinear feature interactions, and providing a scalable deployment strategy. This study contributes to the development of interpretable and deployable AI-driven material informatics, bridging the gap between data-driven predictions and fundamental material science principles.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
John Wiley & Sons, 2025
Keywords
explainable artificial intelligence (XAI), high-performance concrete, material informatics, predictive modeling, science cloud deployment
National Category
Computer Sciences
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-239423 (URN)10.1002/msd2.70017 (DOI)001491092800001 ()2-s2.0-105005851142 (Scopus ID)
Funder
J. Gust. Richert stiftelse, 2023‐00884Swedish Energy Agency, P2021‐00248Swedish Research Council Formas, 2022‐01475The Royal Swedish Academy of Agriculture and Forestry (KSLA), GFS2023‐0131BYG2023‐0007GFS2024‐0155The Royal Swedish Academy of Agriculture and Forestry (KSLA), GFS2023‐0131The Royal Swedish Academy of Agriculture and Forestry (KSLA), BYG2023‐0007The Royal Swedish Academy of Agriculture and Forestry (KSLA), GFS2024‐0155
Available from: 2025-06-02 Created: 2025-06-02 Last updated: 2025-07-11Bibliographically approved
Liu, B., Liu, P., Wang, Y., Li, Z., Lv, H., Lu, W., . . . Rabczuk, T. (2025). Explainable machine learning for multiscale thermal conductivity modeling in polymer nanocomposites with uncertainty quantification. Composite structures, 370, Article ID 119292.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Explainable machine learning for multiscale thermal conductivity modeling in polymer nanocomposites with uncertainty quantification
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2025 (English)In: Composite structures, ISSN 0263-8223, E-ISSN 1879-1085, Vol. 370, article id 119292Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Graphene-based polymer nanocomposites show great potential for thermal management, but accurately predicting their thermal conductivity remains challenging due to multiscale structural complexity and parameter uncertainty. We propose an innovative approach integrating interpretable stochastic machine learning with multiscale analysis to predict the macroscopic thermal conductivity of graphene-based polymer nanocomposites. Our bottom-up framework addresses uncertainties in meso- and macro-scale input parameters. Using Representative Volume Elements (RVEs) and Finite Element Modeling (FEM), we compute effective thermal conductivity through homogenization. Predictive modeling is powered by the XGBoost regression tree-based algorithm. To elucidate the influence of input parameters on predictions, we employ SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME), providing insights into feature interactions and interpretability. Sensitivity analyses further quantify the impact of design parameters on material properties. This integrated method enhances prediction accuracy, reduces computational costs, and bridges data-driven and physical modeling, offering a scalable solution for designing advanced composite materials for thermal management applications.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2025
Keywords
Interpretable integrated learning, Polymeric graphene-enhanced composites (PGECs), Sensitivity analysis, Stochastic multi-scale modeling, Thermal properties
National Category
Composite Science and Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-240315 (URN)10.1016/j.compstruct.2025.119292 (DOI)2-s2.0-105007553544 (Scopus ID)
Funder
J. Gust. Richert stiftelse, 2023–00884The Kempe FoundationsEU, Horizon 2020, 101016854Swedish Energy Agency, P2021-00248Swedish Research Council Formas, 2022-01475
Available from: 2025-06-24 Created: 2025-06-24 Last updated: 2025-06-24Bibliographically approved
Han, O., Olofsson, T., Puttige, A. R., Liu, B., Liu, P. & Li, A. (2025). Integrating phase change materials into buildings to improve indoor thermal environment and energy efficiency: a short review. In: Olafur Haralds Wallevik; Vincent E. Merida; Sylgja D. Sigurjónsdóttir (Ed.), Healthy Buildings Europe 2025: Proceedings of an ISIAQ International Conference. Paper presented at ISIAQ International Conference Healthy Buildings Europe 2025, Reykjavík, Iceland, June 8-11, 2025 (pp. 323-329). International Society of Indoor Air Quality and Climate
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Integrating phase change materials into buildings to improve indoor thermal environment and energy efficiency: a short review
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2025 (English)In: Healthy Buildings Europe 2025: Proceedings of an ISIAQ International Conference / [ed] Olafur Haralds Wallevik; Vincent E. Merida; Sylgja D. Sigurjónsdóttir, International Society of Indoor Air Quality and Climate , 2025, p. 323-329Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

This study offers a comprehensive review of the state-of-the-art developments regarding the application of phase change materials (PCMs) into building envelopes and HVAC systems. Incorporating PCMs into building envelopes can significantly enhance thermal storage capacity and reduce the influence of outdoor temperature fluctuations on interior spaces' thermal conditions. Furthermore, combining PCM-enhanced building envelopes with night ventilation can effectively utilize natural cooling resources, thereby improving both the adaptability and efficiency of PCMs in regulating indoor thermal environments and reducing building energy consumption. An alternative approach for energy conservation involves integrating PCMs directly within ventilation and air conditioning systems. This review offers insights and recommendations for future research, highlighting the necessity of further developments in materials science, system optimization, and real-world application studies to maximize the potential of PCMs in the built environment.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
International Society of Indoor Air Quality and Climate, 2025
Keywords
Building envelope, Energy saving, Night ventilation, Phase change material
National Category
Building Technologies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-248001 (URN)2-s2.0-105023388061 (Scopus ID)9789935539762 (ISBN)
Conference
ISIAQ International Conference Healthy Buildings Europe 2025, Reykjavík, Iceland, June 8-11, 2025
Funder
Swedish Energy Agency, P2021-00248The Kempe Foundations, JCSMK23-0121Swedish Research Council Formas, 50889-1
Note

ISBN: 9789935539762

Available from: 2026-01-07 Created: 2026-01-07 Last updated: 2026-01-07Bibliographically approved
Liu, B., Liu, P., Lu, W. & Olofsson, T. (2025). Stochastic multiscale modeling for thermal conductivity in polymeric graphene-enhanced composites: a study in interpretable machine learning. In: Kun Zhou (Ed.), Computational and Experimental Simulations in Engineering: Proceedings of ICCES 2024 - Volume 4. Paper presented at 30th International Conference on Computational and Experimental Engineering and Sciences, ICCES 2024, Singapore, 3-6 August, 2024. (pp. 208-219). Springer Nature
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Stochastic multiscale modeling for thermal conductivity in polymeric graphene-enhanced composites: a study in interpretable machine learning
2025 (English)In: Computational and Experimental Simulations in Engineering: Proceedings of ICCES 2024 - Volume 4 / [ed] Kun Zhou, Springer Nature, 2025, p. 208-219Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

We've devised an interpretable stochastic integrated machine learning method for predicting thermal conductivity in Polymeric Graphene-Enhanced Composites (PGECs) across different scales. Our approach, integrating techniques like Regression Trees methods (Gradient Boosting machine), handles uncertain parameters via a bottom-up multi-scale framework using Representative Volume Elements in Finite Element Modeling (RVE-FEM). To understand factors affecting predictions, we use the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) algorithm. This method aligns well with training data, offering promise for efficiently designing new composite materials for thermal management.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature, 2025
Series
Mechanisms and Machine Science, ISSN 2211-0984, E-ISSN 2211-0992 ; 176
Keywords
Interpretable Integrated Learning, Polymeric graphene-enhanced composites (PGECs), Stochastic multi-scale modelling, Thermal properties
National Category
Other Electrical Engineering, Electronic Engineering, Information Engineering
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-237336 (URN)10.1007/978-3-031-82907-9_17 (DOI)2-s2.0-105001287517 (Scopus ID)978-3-031-82906-2 (ISBN)978-3-031-82907-9 (ISBN)
Conference
30th International Conference on Computational and Experimental Engineering and Sciences, ICCES 2024, Singapore, 3-6 August, 2024.
Available from: 2025-04-29 Created: 2025-04-29 Last updated: 2025-08-08Bibliographically approved
Liu, B., Wang, Y., Olofsson, T. & Lu, W. (2024). Enhancing thermal conductivity modeling of polyurethane with phase change materials via physics-informed neural networks at multiple scales. In: The 9th European Congress on Computational Methods in Applied Sciences and Engineering ECCOMAS Congress 2024: . Paper presented at 9th European Congress on Computational Methods in Applied Sciences and Engineering, ECCOMAS 2024, Lisbon, Portugal, 3-7 June, 2024.. Scipedia S.L.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Enhancing thermal conductivity modeling of polyurethane with phase change materials via physics-informed neural networks at multiple scales
2024 (English)In: The 9th European Congress on Computational Methods in Applied Sciences and Engineering ECCOMAS Congress 2024, Scipedia S.L. , 2024Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

Polyurethane (PU) is an excellent thermal insulator, and incorporating Phase Change Material (PCM) capsules into PU significantly enhances building envelope performance by improving indoor thermal stability and reducing temperature fluctuations. We propose a hierarchical multi-scale model using Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) to accurately predict and analyze the thermal conductivity of PU-PCM composites at both micro and macro scales. This approach effectively addresses complex inverse problems and multi-scale phenomena, offering insights that optimize material design. A case study further demonstrates the model's potential in improving thermal comfort and reducing energy consumption in buildings. The successful development of this PINNs-based model holds great promise for advancing PU-PCM applications in thermal energy storage and innovative building insulation design.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Scipedia S.L., 2024
Series
European Congress on Computational Methods in Applied Sciences and Engineering, E-ISSN 2696-6999
Keywords
Multi-scale modelling, Phase Change Materials (PCMs), Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs), RVE-FEM, Thermal properties
National Category
Building Technologies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-243093 (URN)2-s2.0-105012421104 (Scopus ID)
Conference
9th European Congress on Computational Methods in Applied Sciences and Engineering, ECCOMAS 2024, Lisbon, Portugal, 3-7 June, 2024.
Available from: 2025-09-04 Created: 2025-09-04 Last updated: 2025-09-04Bibliographically approved
Liu, B. (2024). Interpretable machine learning for multiscale thermal conductivity modeling in polymer nanocomposites with uncertainty quantification. In: : . Paper presented at International Conference on Data-Driven Computing and Machine Learning in Engineering 2024 (DACOMA2024), Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China, October 12-14, 2024.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Interpretable machine learning for multiscale thermal conductivity modeling in polymer nanocomposites with uncertainty quantification
2024 (English)Conference paper, Oral presentation only (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

We introduce a novel approach that combines interpretable quantitative stochastic machine learning with multiscale analysis to predict the macroscopic thermal conductivity of graphene-enhanced polymer nanocomposites. Our method effectively addresses uncertainties in input parameters across meso and macro scales within a bottom-up modeling framework. By integrating Representative Volume Elements (RVE) with traditional Finite Element Modeling (FEM), we calculate the effective thermal conductivity through homogenization. We further enhance predictive modeling by employing the XGBoost regression tree method. To clarify the influence of input variables on model outcomes, we incorporate SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME). Additionally, sensitivity analyses are conducted to assess the impact of design parameters on material properties. This comprehensive approach improves both global and local interpretability, clarifying feature interactions in data-driven and physical models. It reduces the reliance on extensive analytical modeling and simulations, enhancing prediction accuracy and significantly lowering computational costs. Our method holds significant promise for the design of new composite materials optimized for thermal management.

National Category
Composite Science and Engineering
Research subject
Solid Mechanics
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-237254 (URN)
Conference
International Conference on Data-Driven Computing and Machine Learning in Engineering 2024 (DACOMA2024), Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, China, October 12-14, 2024
Funder
The Kempe FoundationsJ. Gust. Richert stiftelseThe Royal Swedish Academy of Agriculture and Forestry (KSLA)Swedish Energy AgencySwedish Research Council Formas
Available from: 2025-04-03 Created: 2025-04-03 Last updated: 2025-09-26Bibliographically approved
Organisations
Identifiers
ORCID iD: ORCID iD iconorcid.org/0000-0002-7171-1219

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