Open this publication in new window or tab >>Umeå University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Diagnostics and Intervention. Umeå University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Surgical and Perioperative Sciences, Anaesthesiology.
Department of Surgery, Halland Hospital Varberg, Region Halland, Halland, Sweden.
Regional Trauma Centre, Haukeland University Hospital, Haukeland, Bergen, Norway; Department of Neurosurgery, Haukeland University Hospital, Haukeland, Bergen, Norway.
Karolinska University Hospital, Stockholm, Sweden.
Department of Emergency Medicine, Alingsås Hospital, Region Västra Götaland, Alingsås, Sweden.
Department of Surgery, Norra Älvsborgs Hospital, NU-sjukvården, Region Västra Götaland, Trollhättan, Sweden.
Department of Paediatric Medicine, Ryhov Hospital, Region Jönköpings län, Jönköping, Sweden.
Department of Surgery, Ljungby Hospital, Region Kronoberg, Ljungby, Sweden.
Department of Emergency Medicine, Ystad Hospital, Region Skåne, Ystad, Sweden.
Department of Surgery, Halland Hospital Halmstad, Region Halland, Halland, Sweden.
Department of Surgery, Halland Hospital Halmstad, Region Halland, Halland, Sweden.
Department of Surgery, Halland Hospital Halmstad, Region Halland, Halland, Sweden.
Department of Surgery, Halland Hospital Halmstad, Region Halland, Halland, Sweden.
Department of Anaesthesia and Intensive Care, Mora Hospital, Region Dalarna, Mora, Sweden.
Department of Paediatrics, Skåne University Hospital, Lund, Sweden.
Department of Paediatric Surgery, Queen Silvia Children's Hospital, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Gothenburg, Sweden; Institute of Clinical Sciences, Sahlgrenska Academy, Gothenburg University, Gothenburg, Sweden.
Department of Health and Care, School of Health and Welfare, Halmstad University, Halmstad, Sweden; Psychiatry Halland, Region Halland, Halmstad, Sweden.
Department of Paediatric Medicine, Halland Hospital Halmstad, Halmstad, Sweden.
Department of Neurosurgery, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen University Hospital, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Department of Neurosurgery, Haukeland University Hospital, Haukeland, Bergen, Norway; Department of Clinical Medicine, University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway.
Department of Clinical Sciences, Lund University, Lund, Sweden; Department of Neurosurgery, Skåne University Hospital Lund, Lund, Sweden.
Department of Clinical Sciences, Malmö, Lund University Faculty of Medicine, Lund, Sweden; Department of Operation and Intensive Care, Halland Hospital Halmstad, Region Halland, Halmstad, Sweden.
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2025 (English)In: The Lancet Regional Health: Europe, E-ISSN 2666-7762, Vol. 51, article id 101233Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]
Background: Current guidelines for initial management of traumatic brain injury (TBI) support decision making, but they are rarely validated. The Scandinavian guideline for management of children with TBI (SNC16) was developed to minimise the use of cranial computed tomography (cCT) without compromising safety, but the performance of the guideline in a real-world population is unknown. We aimed to determine the diagnostic accuracy for the SNC16 in a large, pragmatic cohort of children.
Methods: In this prospective, observational, international cohort study in 16 Swedish and Norwegian emergency departments (EDs), children (aged <18 years) with blunt head trauma, presenting within 24 h of injury and a Glasgow Coma Scale of 9–15, were prospectively enrolled. The primary outcome measure was presence of a composite variable (clinically important intracranial injury (CIII) comprised of death, neurosurgery, admission to hospital ward ≥2 days due to head injury, or intubation ≥1 day due to pathological cCT findings), all within one week from trauma. Secondary outcome measures were neurosurgery and significant trauma related findings on cCT.
Findings: A total of 3012 children were enrolled from April 2018 to May 2024. Nine patients fulfilled the primary variable CIII (0.30%; 9/3012), two patients required neurosurgery (0.07%; 2/3012), and 27 patients showed significant trauma related findings on cCT (0.90%; 27/3012). Point sensitivities to detect CIII, neurosurgery and significant cCT findings were 100% (CI 95% 70%–100% [9/9]; 34%–100% [2/2]; and 87%–100% [27/27]). Point specificity was 41.3%, 41.2%, and 41.6% (CI 95% 40%–43% [1241/3003]; 39%–43% [1241/3010]; and 40%–43% [1241/2985]). Negative predictive values were 100% for CIII, neurosurgery and significant cCT findings (CI 95% 99.7%–100.0% for all). Application of the SNC16 guidelines would have resulted in a mandatory cCT rate of 3.4% (101/3012) and immediate discharge from the ED for 41.2% (1241/3012) of children. No children with a discharge recommendation were positive for any primary or secondary outcomes.
Interpretation: Validation of the SNC16 guideline showed adequate diagnostic performance in a real-world cohort, supporting formal implementation.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2025
Keywords
Children, Clinical decision rule, Computed tomography, Diagnostic accuracy, Guidelines, Scandinavia, Traumatic brain injury, Validation
National Category
Neurology Health Care Service and Management, Health Policy and Services and Health Economy
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-235660 (URN)10.1016/j.lanepe.2025.101233 (DOI)2-s2.0-85217375707 (Scopus ID)
2025-02-242025-02-242025-02-24Bibliographically approved