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On specification and inference in the econometrics of public procurement
Umeå universitet, Samhällsvetenskapliga fakulteten, Handelshögskolan vid Umeå universitet, Nationalekonomi.ORCID-id: 0000-0003-1312-8073
2016 (engelsk)Doktoravhandling, med artikler (Annet vitenskapelig)
Abstract [en]

In Paper [I] we use data on Swedish public procurement auctions for internal regularcleaning service contracts to provide novel empirical evidence regarding green publicprocurement (GPP) and its effect on the potential suppliers’ decision to submit a bid andtheir probability of being qualified for supplier selection. We find only a weak effect onsupplier behavior which suggests that GPP does not live up to its political expectations.However, several environmental criteria appear to be associated with increased complexity,as indicated by the reduced probability of a bid being qualified in the postqualificationprocess. As such, GPP appears to have limited or no potential to function as an environmentalpolicy instrument. In Paper [II] the observation is made that empirical evaluations of the effect of policiestransmitted through public procurements on bid sizes are made using linear regressionsor by more involved non-linear structural models. The aspiration is typically to determinea marginal effect. Here, I compare marginal effects generated under both types ofspecifications. I study how a political initiative to make firms less environmentally damagingimplemented through public procurement influences Swedish firms’ behavior. Thecollected evidence brings about a statistically as well as economically significant effect onfirms’ bids and costs. Paper [III] embarks by noting that auction theory suggests that as the number of bidders(competition) increases, the sizes of the participants’ bids decrease. An issue in theempirical literature on auctions is which measurement(s) of competition to use. Utilizinga dataset on public procurements containing measurements on both the actual and potentialnumber of bidders I find that a workhorse model of public procurements is bestfitted to data using only actual bidders as measurement for competition. Acknowledgingthat all measurements of competition may be erroneous, I propose an instrumental variableestimator that (given my data) brings about a competition effect bounded by thosegenerated by specifications using the actual and potential number of bidders, respectively.Also, some asymptotic results are provided for non-linear least squares estimatorsobtained from a dependent variable transformation model. Paper [VI] introduces a novel method to measure bidders’ costs (valuations) in descending(ascending) auctions. Based on two bounded rationality constraints bidders’costs (valuations) are given an imperfect measurements interpretation robust to behavioraldeviations from traditional rationality assumptions. Theory provides no guidanceas to the shape of the cost (valuation) distributions while empirical evidence suggeststhem to be positively skew. Consequently, a flexible distribution is employed in an imperfectmeasurements framework. An illustration of the proposed method on Swedishpublic procurement data is provided along with a comparison to a traditional BayesianNash Equilibrium approach.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
Umeå: Umeå universitet , 2016. , s. 15
Serie
Umeå economic studies, ISSN 0348-1018 ; 931
Emneord [en]
auctions, dependent variable transformation model, green public procurement, indirect inference, instrumental variable, latent variable, log-generalized gamma distribution, maximum likelihood, measurement error, non-linear least squares, objective effectiveness, orthogonal polynomial regression, prediction, simulation estimation, structural estimation
HSV kategori
Forskningsprogram
nationalekonomi; ekonometri
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-121681ISBN: 978-91-7601-507-0 (tryckt)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-121681DiVA, id: diva2:933619
Disputas
2016-09-02, Hörsal D, Samhällsvetarhuset, Biblioteksgränd 6, Umeå, 13:15 (engelsk)
Opponent
Veileder
Tilgjengelig fra: 2016-06-08 Laget: 2016-06-07 Sist oppdatert: 2024-01-17bibliografisk kontrollert
Delarbeid
1. Using public procurement to implement environmental policy: an empirical analysis
Åpne denne publikasjonen i ny fane eller vindu >>Using public procurement to implement environmental policy: an empirical analysis
2015 (engelsk)Inngår i: Environmental Economics and Policy Studies, ISSN 1432-847X, E-ISSN 1867-383X, Vol. 17, nr 4, s. 487-520Artikkel i tidsskrift (Fagfellevurdert) Published
Abstract [en]

Politicians expect Green public procurement (GPP) to serve as an environmental policy instrument. However, in order for GPP to work as an effective policy instrument it is important to take into consideration potential suppliers’ decisions to participate in the procurement process, the total number of bidders, and the screening of bidders with respect to mandatory green criteria. The aim of this paper is to empirically study GPP in this respect. The analysis presented here is based on data from Swedish cleaning services procurements that are unique in that they contain very detailed information on various environmental standards set by the contracting authorities. We find at best only a weak effect on supplier behavior, and this suggests that the use of GPP in this situation does not live up to its political expectations. 

Emneord
public procurement, auctions, environmental policy, Green Public Procurement, sustainability, purchasing
HSV kategori
Forskningsprogram
biologi, miljövetenskap
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-98079 (URN)10.1007/s10018-015-0102-9 (DOI)000211999000002 ()2-s2.0-84942817185 (Scopus ID)
Prosjekter
Green Public Procurement
Forskningsfinansiär
Swedish Research Council
Tilgjengelig fra: 2015-01-15 Laget: 2015-01-15 Sist oppdatert: 2024-01-17bibliografisk kontrollert
2. A comparison of techniques to evaluate policies in public procurement
Åpne denne publikasjonen i ny fane eller vindu >>A comparison of techniques to evaluate policies in public procurement
2016 (engelsk)Rapport (Annet vitenskapelig)
Abstract [en]

Empirical evaluations of policies implemented through public procurements are commonly carried out using linear regressions or by more involved non-linear structural models. The aspiration is typically to determine a marginal effect. Here, I compare marginal effects generated under both types of specifications. I study how a political initiative to make firms less environmentally damaging implemented through public procurements influences Swedish firms’ behavior. The collected evidence brings about statistically as well as economically significant effects on firms’ bids and costs.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
Umeå: Umeåa universitet, 2016. s. 25
Serie
Umeå economic studies, ISSN 0348-1018 ; 928
Emneord
binding function, green public procurement, indirect inference, orthogonal polynomial regression, simulation estimation, structural estimation
HSV kategori
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-121688 (URN)
Tilgjengelig fra: 2016-06-07 Laget: 2016-06-07 Sist oppdatert: 2018-06-07bibliografisk kontrollert
3. The Competition Effect in a Public Procurement Model: An error-in-variables approach
Åpne denne publikasjonen i ny fane eller vindu >>The Competition Effect in a Public Procurement Model: An error-in-variables approach
2016 (engelsk)Rapport (Annet vitenskapelig)
Abstract [en]

Auction theory suggests that as the number of bidders (competition) increases, the sizes of the participants’ bids decrease. An issue in the empirical literature on auctions is which measurement(s) of competition to use. Utilizing a dataset on public procurements containing measurements on both the actual and potential number of bidders I find that a workhorse model of public procurements is best fitted to data using only actual bidders as measurement for competition. Acknowledging that all measurements of competition may be erroneous, I propose an instrumental variable estimator that (given my data) brings about a competition effect bounded by those generated from models using the actual and potential number of bidders, respectively. Also, some asymptotic results are provided for non-linear least squares estimators obtained from a dependent variable transformation model.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
Umeå University, 2016. s. 33
Serie
Umeå economic studies, ISSN 0348-1018 ; 920
Emneord
dependent variable transformation model, instrumental variable, measurement error, non-linear least squares
HSV kategori
Forskningsprogram
ekonometri; nationalekonomi
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-114556 (URN)
Tilgjengelig fra: 2016-01-25 Laget: 2016-01-25 Sist oppdatert: 2020-07-09bibliografisk kontrollert
4. It’s all in the interval: an imperfect measurements approach to estimate bidders’ primitives in auctions
Åpne denne publikasjonen i ny fane eller vindu >>It’s all in the interval: an imperfect measurements approach to estimate bidders’ primitives in auctions
2014 (engelsk)Rapport (Annet vitenskapelig)
Abstract [en]

A novel methodology to measure bidders’ costs (valuations) in descending (ascending) auctions is introduced. Based on two bounded rationality constraints bidders’ costs (valuations) are given an imperfect measurements interpretation that is robust to behavioral deviations from the traditional rationality assumptions. Theory provides no guidance as to the shape of the cost (valuation) distributions while empirical evidence suggests them to be positively skew. Consequently, a flexible distribution is employed in an imperfect measurements framework. An illustration of the proposed methodology on Swedish public procurement data is provided along with a comparison to a traditional Bayesian Nash Equilibrium methodology.

sted, utgiver, år, opplag, sider
Umeå: Umeå universitet, 2014. s. 21
Serie
Umeå economic studies, ISSN 0348-1018 ; 899
Emneord
log-generalized gamma distribution, latent variable, maximum likelihood, prediction, public procurement
HSV kategori
Forskningsprogram
nationalekonomi; ekonometri
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-95896 (URN)
Tilgjengelig fra: 2014-11-06 Laget: 2014-11-06 Sist oppdatert: 2018-06-07bibliografisk kontrollert

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