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A hazards approach to the biometric analysis of infant mortality
Umeå University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Centre for Demographic and Ageing Research (CEDAR).ORCID iD: 0000-0002-2865-7894
Centre for Economic Demography, Lund University, Lund, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1113-8761
2023 (English)Report (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

A variation of the Bourgeois-Pichat biometric analysis of infant mortality is suggested. In the original model, cumulative mortality in the last eleven months of infancy is assumed to follow a uniform distribution given a log-cube transformation of age. Instead, we assume an exponential distribution. The difference is that while the denominator is constant in the Bourgeois-Pichat model, equal to the number of births, in our model, the denominator is the current population at risk. We argue that our assumption is more satisfactory from a theoretical point of view, since it focus on the conditional probability of dying. Our model gives different estimates of endogenous and exogenous mortality and, in addition, the model fit is slightly better, especially in cases with higher levels of infant mortality. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Umeå: Umeå University , 2023. , p. 15
Series
CEDAR Working Papers ; 2023:27
National Category
Public Health, Global Health and Social Medicine
Research subject
demography; demometry
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-213674OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-213674DiVA, id: diva2:1791781
Available from: 2023-08-26 Created: 2023-08-26 Last updated: 2025-02-20Bibliographically approved

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fulltext(657 kB)186 downloads
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Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

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Broström, Göran

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf