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Long-term effects of the Cryptosporidium hominis outbreak in Östersund
Umeå University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1216-2440
2025 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)Alternative title
Långtidseffekter av utbrottet med Cryptosporidium hominis i Östersund (Swedish)
Abstract [en]

Background: Waterborne infection with the parasite Cryptosporidium is a common cause of diarrhoea, particularly inlow-income countries, and contributes significantly to diarrhoea-related morbidity and mortality. Young children andimmunocompromised individuals are particularly vulnerable to such infections. In 2010, an outbreak of Cryptosporidiumhominis in Östersund, Sweden, resulted in ~27,000 cases. Long-term symptoms, including abdominal and joint symptoms,headache, and fatigue, can persist for up to 5 years, but whether they extend beyond that time frame is unclear. Data on thelong-term health-economic impact of Cryptosporidium outbreaks are lacking. In addition, physicians appreciate that theincidence of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and microscopic colitis (MC) has increased in Region Jämtland Härjedalen(RJH) since 2010, but a link between cryptosporidiosis and IBD or MC has not been established.

Aim: We aimed to understand the long-term consequences of the Crypto-sporidium outbreak in Östersund by assessingsymptoms after 10 years, as well as the health-economic impacts and incidences of IBD and MC.

Methods: In 2011, a randomly selected cohort of Östersund residents (n = 1,524) and 500 additional children aged 0–5years were surveyed via a postal questionnaire. Respondents reporting new episodes of diarrhoea during the outbreak weredefined as cases; those who did not report diarrhoea were defined as non-cases. In a prospective cohort study conducted in2021, all respondents (n = 1,404, 69.4%) were surveyed about possible long-term symptoms. We used logistic regressionanalysis to examine a possible association between reported symptoms and case status. The results were publishedseparately for adults (Study I) and children aged 0-5 years (Study II). For adults, we evaluated the consistency of reportedsymptoms, including the results of a 5-year follow-up of the same cohort, and its possible association with disease durationduring the outbreak. For children, we investigated healthcare utilisation and diagnoses during the follow-up period.All questionnaire respondents in 2011 were included in a retrospective, incremental cost analysis focusing on productionloss and healthcare utilisation during 2011-2019 (Study III). Data were collected on net days of sickness and childcarebenefits, outpatient visits, and inpatient days. Possible differences between cases and non-cases were assessed by logisticand negative binomial regression analyses. Costs were calculated using population data and mean wages.In an observational study (Study IV), we compared pre-outbreak (2006-2010) and post-outbreak (2011-2019) incidences ofIBD and MC in RJH using negative binomial regression analysis.

Results: In 2021, 538 adults (74%) responded to the questionnaire. Cases were more likely to report abdominal (aOR ~3)and joint symptoms (aOR ~2). They were also more likely to report symptoms at both the 5- and 10-year follow-up. Caseswith consistent abdominal symptoms had more symptomatic days during the outbreak than the cases reporting no orvarying symptoms (mean 9.2 days [median 6.5, range 1.0-55.0] vs 6.6 days [median 5.0, range 0.0-33.0]; p = 0.003).Among children aged 0-5 years, 295 (69.7%) responded. Cases were more likely to report joint symptoms (aOR 4.0, 95% CI1.3–12.0) and fatigue (aOR 1.9, 95% CI 1.1–3.4), although overall numbers were low. No between-group differences wereobserved in healthcare utilisation or disease diagnoses.The cost analysis revealed that more cases than non-cases received sickness benefits in the years following the outbreak(142/346 [41.0%] vs 125/399 [31.3%], p = 0.006). Cases also claimed more benefit days (8,946 per 100 cases vs 4,538 per100 non-cases; p = 0.003). This corresponds with an incremental cost of ~ 33.3 million SEK (€2.9 million) for our studypopulation, or ~ 1.7 billion SEK (€148.5 million) for the entire population of Östersund. No differences were observed inchildcare benefits or outpatient visits. Hospital admission rates were comparable between groups, though cases generallyhad shorter hospital stays, likely reflecting factors unrelated to cryptosporidiosis.In RJH, 410 patients were diagnosed with IBD and 155 with MC between 2006 and 2019. For the population >40 years old,the incidence of IBD (IRR 1.69, 95% CI 1.13–2.51) and the incidence of Crohn’s disease in particular (IRR 2.23, 95% CI1.08–4.62) increased post-outbreak. The incidence of MC increased sixfold (IRR 6.43, 95% CI 2.78–14.87).

Conclusion: Long-term symptoms commonly occur following a C. hominis infection, particularly in adults. The 2010outbreak generated an estimated 1.7 billion SEK increase in sickness benefits. Furthermore, post-outbreak, the incidence oflate-onset IBD and MC increased. These findings underscore the importance of prevention and may guide future public health interventions and water management policies.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Umeå: Umeå University, 2025. , p. 90
Series
Umeå University medical dissertations, ISSN 0346-6612 ; 2386
Keywords [en]
Cryptosporidium, zoonosis, outbreaks, sequelae, inflammatory bowel disease, microscopic colitis, cost analysis
National Category
General Medicine Infectious Medicine Public Health, Global Health and Social Medicine
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-246451ISBN: 978-91-8070-817-3 (print)ISBN: 978-91-8070-818-0 (electronic)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-246451DiVA, id: diva2:2014286
Public defence
2025-12-18, Hörsalen, Östersunds sjukhus, Östersund, 09:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2025-11-27 Created: 2025-11-17 Last updated: 2025-11-19Bibliographically approved
List of papers
1. Persisting symptoms after Cryptosporidium hominis outbreak: a 10-year follow-up from Östersund, Sweden
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Persisting symptoms after Cryptosporidium hominis outbreak: a 10-year follow-up from Östersund, Sweden
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2023 (English)In: Parasitology Research, ISSN 0932-0113, E-ISSN 1432-1955, Vol. 122, no 7, p. 1631-1639Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In late 2010, an outbreak of Cryptosporidium hominis affected 27,000 inhabitants (45%) of Östersund, Sweden. Previous research shows that abdomen and joint symptoms commonly persist up to 5 years post-infection. It is unknown whether Cryptosporidium is associated with sequelae for a longer duration, how persisting symptoms present over time, and whether sequelae are associated with prolonged infection. In this prospective cohort study, a randomly selected cohort in Östersund was surveyed about cryptosporidiosis symptoms in 2011 (response rate 69.2%). A case was defined as a respondent reporting new diarrhoea episodes during the outbreak. Follow-up questionnaires were sent after 5 and 10 years. Logistic regressions were used to examine associations between case status and symptoms reported after 10 years, with results presented as adjusted odds ratios (aOR) with 95% confidence intervals. Consistency of symptoms and associations with case status and number of days with symptoms during outbreak were analysed using X 2 and Mann–Whitney U tests. The response rate after 10 years was 74% (n = 538). Case status was associated with reporting symptoms, with aOR of ~3 for abdominal symptoms and ~2 for joint symptoms. Cases were more likely to report consistent symptoms. Cases with consistent abdominal symptoms at follow-up reported 9.2 days with symptoms during the outbreak (SD 8.1), compared to 6.6 days (SD 6.1) for cases reporting varying or no symptoms (p = 0.003). We conclude that cryptosporidiosis was associated with an up to threefold risk for reporting symptoms 10 years post-infection. Consistent symptoms were associated with prolonged infection.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature, 2023
Keywords
Cryptosporidium, Diarrhoea, Disease outbreaks, PI-IBS, Post-infectious symptoms, Sequelae
National Category
Infectious Medicine Public Health, Global Health and Social Medicine
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-209290 (URN)10.1007/s00436-023-07866-8 (DOI)000990476700002 ()37199767 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85159654199 (Scopus ID)
Funder
Region Jämtland Härjedalen, JLL-939404Region Jämtland Härjedalen, JLL-965542Region Jämtland Härjedalen, JLL-967794Region Jämtland Härjedalen, JLL-978075Region Jämtland Härjedalen, JLL-980156Visare Norr, 967799
Available from: 2023-06-08 Created: 2023-06-08 Last updated: 2025-11-17Bibliographically approved
2. Long-term symptoms in children after a Cryptosporidium hominis outbreak in Sweden: a 10-year follow-up
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Long-term symptoms in children after a Cryptosporidium hominis outbreak in Sweden: a 10-year follow-up
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2025 (English)In: Parasitology Research, ISSN 0932-0113, E-ISSN 1432-1955, Vol. 124, no 1, article id 13Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In 2010, a Cryptosporidium hominis outbreak resulted in 27,000 clinical cryptosporidiosis cases (45% of the population) in Östersund, Sweden. Long-term abdominal and joint symptoms are common following cryptosporidiosis in adults, and it can affect the development of children in low-income countries. We investigated the potential consequences for children in a high-income setting. In 2011, we prospectively surveyed 600 randomly selected children aged 0-5 years from Östersund. Cases were defined as respondents reporting new episodes of diarrhoea during the outbreak. After 10 years, respondents received a follow-up questionnaire about long-term symptoms (n = 423). We used X2 and Mann-Whitney U tests to assess between-group differences in demographics and the mean number of symptoms. Logistic regressions adjusted for sex, age, and prior issues with loose stools were used to examine associations between case status and symptoms reported at follow-up. We retrieved data on healthcare visits from patient records. In total, 121 cases and 174 non-cases responded to the follow-up questionnaire (69.7%). Cases reported 1.74 (median 1.00, range 0-14) symptoms and non-cases 1.37 (median 0.00, range 0-11) symptoms (p = 0.029). Cases were more likely to report joint symptoms (aOR 4.0, CI 1.3-12.0) and fatigue (aOR 1.9, CI 1.1-3.4), but numbers were generally low. We found no between-group differences in abdominal symptoms, healthcare utilization, or disease diagnoses. Children aged 0-5 years from high-income countries may experience long-term symptoms after cryptosporidiosis, but may not be affected to the same extent as adults or their peers living in low-income countries.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature, 2025
Keywords
Cryptosporidium, Disease outbreaks, Paediatric infections, Post-infectious symptoms, Sequelae
National Category
Epidemiology Public Health, Global Health and Social Medicine Infectious Medicine
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-235372 (URN)10.1007/s00436-025-08455-7 (DOI)001405610700001 ()39862254 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85216996624 (Scopus ID)
Funder
Region Jämtland Härjedalen, JLL-939404Region Jämtland Härjedalen, JLL-965542Region Jämtland Härjedalen, JLL-967794Region Jämtland Härjedalen, JLL-978075Region Jämtland Härjedalen, JLL-980156Region Jämtland Härjedalen, JLL-990885Region Jämtland Härjedalen, JLL-993985Visare Norr, VISARENORR967799Visare Norr, VISARENORR993655
Available from: 2025-02-24 Created: 2025-02-24 Last updated: 2025-11-17Bibliographically approved
3. Long-term economic impact of a Cryptosporidium hominis outbreak: costs of production loss and healthcare utilisation
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Long-term economic impact of a Cryptosporidium hominis outbreak: costs of production loss and healthcare utilisation
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(English)Manuscript (preprint) (Other academic)
National Category
General Medicine Health Care Service and Management, Health Policy and Services and Health Economy
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-246446 (URN)
Available from: 2025-11-17 Created: 2025-11-17 Last updated: 2025-11-17Bibliographically approved
4. Increased incidence of late-onset inflammatory bowel disease and microscopic colitis after a Cryptosporidium hominis outbreak
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Increased incidence of late-onset inflammatory bowel disease and microscopic colitis after a Cryptosporidium hominis outbreak
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2022 (English)In: Scandinavian Journal of Gastroenterology, ISSN 0036-5521, E-ISSN 1502-7708, Vol. 57, no 12, p. 1443-1449Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

OBJECTIVES: In 2010, 27,000 inhabitants (45% of the population) of Östersund, Sweden, contracted clinical cryptosporidiosis after drinking water contaminated with Cryptosporidium hominis. After the outbreak, local physicians perceived that the incidence of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), including ulcerative colitis (UC), Crohn's disease (CD), and IBD-unclassified, and microscopic colitis (MC) increased. This study assessed whether this perception was correct.

MATERIALS AND METHODS: This observational study included adult patients (≥18 years old) from the local health care region who were diagnosed with pathology-confirmed IBD or MC during 2006-2019. We collected and validated the diagnosis, date of diagnosis, age at diagnosis, and sex from the Swedish quality register SWIBREG and electronic patient records. Population data were collected from Statistics Sweden. The incidences for 2006-2010 (pre-outbreak) and 2011-2019 (post-outbreak) were evaluated by negative binomial regression analysis and presented as incidence rate ratios (IRRs). Data were analyzed for IBD, for UC and CD separately, and MC.

RESULTS: During the study period, we identified 410 patients with new onset IBD and 155 new cases of MC. Overall, we found a trend toward an increased incidence of IBD post-outbreak (IRR 1.39, confidence interval (CI) 0.99-1.94). In individuals ≥40 years old, the post-outbreak incidence significantly increased for IBD (IRR 1.69, CI 1.13-2.51) and CD (IRR 2.23, CI 1.08-4.62). Post-outbreak incidence of MC increased 6-fold in all age groups (IRR 6.43, CI 2.78-14.87).

CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of late-onset IBD and MC increased after the Cryptosporidium outbreak. Cryptosporidiosis may be an environmental risk factor for IBD and MC.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Taylor & Francis Group, 2022
Keywords
Crohn’s disease, Cryptosporidium, epidemiology, inflammatory bowel disease, microscopic colitis
National Category
Gastroenterology and Hepatology Health Care Service and Management, Health Policy and Services and Health Economy Respiratory Medicine and Allergy
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-199584 (URN)10.1080/00365521.2022.2094722 (DOI)000822350600001 ()35802626 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85133721591 (Scopus ID)
Funder
Region Jämtland Härjedalen, JLL-939404Region Jämtland Härjedalen, JLL-965542Region Jämtland Härjedalen, JLL-564341
Available from: 2022-09-20 Created: 2022-09-20 Last updated: 2025-11-17Bibliographically approved

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