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Modelling for policy without policy modelling
Department of Information and Computing Sciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands; Ministry of Economic Affairs, Ministry of Climate Policy and Green Growth and Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries, Food Security and Nature, The Hague, Netherlands.
Umeå University, Faculty of Science and Technology, Department of Computing Science. Department of Information and Computing Sciences, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-5103-8127
2025 (English)In: Advances in Social Simulation: Proceedings of the 19th Social Simulation Conference, Cracow, Poland, 16-20 September 2024 / [ed] Marcin Czupryna; Bogumił Kamiński; Harko Verhagen, Cham: Springer, 2025, p. 349-360Conference paper, Published paper (Refereed)
Abstract [en]

This paper reflects on the efforts of the ABM community to model for policy from our perspective as policy developer. Our goal is to enrich the understanding the community of this perspective on the policy processes and draw attention to more opportunities for modelling in the policy process. We make this explicit by introducing the problem cycle as part of the policy process. The problem cycle can be understood as an iterative process that precedes the policy cycle and has its own goals and results. By modelling in the problem cycle modellers can add valuable contributions to the policy process without modelling a policy. We provide three initial tools to modellers to advance their thinking on how to do this. One: a mapping showing the usefulness of the various model(ling) goals for each policy phase. Two: a classification of different types of governments and what they value. Three: an introduction to actionable perspectives as an effective way to present results to policy. We conclude by stressing that it is always important to have conversations with policy people on equal footing to identify how to usefully model for policy without modelling a policy.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cham: Springer, 2025. p. 349-360
Series
Conference of the European Social Simulation Association, ISSN 2213-8684, E-ISSN 2213-8692
Keywords [en]
Actionable perspective, Agent-based modelling, Goals of models, Handelingsperspectief, Model purposes, Modelling for policy, Policy cycle, Policy development, Policy modelling, Policy problem, Policy process, Problem cycle, Types of government
National Category
Computer Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-248295DOI: 10.1007/978-3-031-91782-0_25Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105025974596ISBN: 9783031917813 (print)ISBN: 978-3-031-91782-0 (electronic)OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-248295DiVA, id: diva2:2028131
Conference
19th Conference of the European Social Simulation Association, ESSA 2024, Cracow, Poland, 16-20 September 2024
Available from: 2026-01-14 Created: 2026-01-14 Last updated: 2026-01-19Bibliographically approved

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Dignum, Frank

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