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Ten new insights in climate science 2025
Future Earth Secretariat, Stockholm, Sweden.
Arizona State University, AZ, Tempe, United States.
University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom; National Centre for Earth Observation, Leicester, United Kingdom.
Future Earth Secretariat Southeast Asia Hub, Bangalore, India; Divecha Centre for Climate Change, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, India; Science and Technology Department, Government of Sikkim, Gangtok, India.
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2026 (English)In: Global Sustainability, E-ISSN 2059-4798, Vol. 9, p. 1-37, article id e6Article, review/survey (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Non-Technical Summary: This review highlights 10 recent advances in climate change research with high policy relevance, spanning diverse topics: (1) the global temperature jump of 2023–2024; (2) sea surface warming and marine heatwaves; (3) land carbon sinks; (4) interactions between climate change and biodiversity loss; (5) accelerated groundwater decline; (6) global dengue incidence; (7) income and labour productivity loss; (8) strategic considerations for scaling carbon dioxide removal (CDR); (9) integrity of carbon credit markets; and (10) policy mixes for climate change mitigation.

Technical Summary: Interdisciplinary understanding is vital for delivering sound climate policy advice. However, navigating the ever-growing and increasingly diverse scholarly literature on climate change is challenging for any individual researcher. This annual synthesis highlights and explains recent advances across a variety of fields of climate change research. This year, the 10 insights focus on: (1) the record-warmth of 2023/2024 and the elevated Earth energy imbalance; (2) acceleration of ocean warming and intensifying marine heatwaves; (3) northern land carbon sinks under strain; (4) reinforcing feedback between biodiversity loss and climate change; (5) accelerated depletion of groundwater; (6) global dengue incidence; (7) global income losses and labour productivity declines; (8) strategic scaling of CDR; (9) integrity challenges in carbon credit markets and emerging responses; and (10) effective policy mixes for emissions reductions. The insights have been written to be accessible to researchers from different fields, serving as entry-points to specific topics, as well as providing an overview of the evolving landscape of climate change research. In the final section, the insights are used to develop overarching policy-relevant messages. This paper provides the basis for a science-policy report that was shared with all Party delegations ahead of COP30 in Belém, Brazil.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Cambridge University Press, 2026. Vol. 9, p. 1-37, article id e6
Keywords [en]
Adaptation and mitigation, Earth systems (land, water and atmospheric), Policies, politics and governance
National Category
Climate Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-249314DOI: 10.1017/sus.2025.10043ISI: 001668546900001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105027376826OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-249314DiVA, id: diva2:2035008
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 2022-04839EU, European Research CouncilSwedish Research Council Formas, FR-2021/0004EU, Horizon Europe, 101,081,521Available from: 2026-02-03 Created: 2026-02-03 Last updated: 2026-02-03Bibliographically approved

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Semenza, Jan C.

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