Umeå University's logo

umu.sePublications
Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Time-adjusted performance evaluation (TAPE) of predictive multivariate models for bioprocess data
Umeå University, Faculty of Science and Technology, Department of Chemistry.ORCID iD: 0009-0009-7323-192X
Sartorius Stedim Biotech GmbH, Göttingen, Germany.
Sartorius Corporate Research, Brussels, Belgium.
Umeå University, Faculty of Science and Technology, Department of Chemistry. Sartorius Corporate Research, Umeå, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-3799-6094
Show others and affiliations
2026 (English)In: Journal of Analytical Science & Technology, ISSN 2093-3134, E-ISSN 2093-3371, Vol. 17, no 1, article id 20Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Cell culture bioprocess data are typically collected across many timepoints and batches, where numerous analytes covary with each other and, critically, with elapsed process time. This time dependence can inflate performance metrics and compromise the validity of multivariate models. We introduce time-adjusted performance evaluation (TAPE), a regression-agnostic validation technique that quantifies and separates time-driven from time-independent predictivity. TAPE pairs leave-one-group-out cross-validation with per-timepoint centering to decompose performance into between-timepoint (time-dependent) and within-timepoint (time-decoupled) parts by comparing predicted and observed deviations from each timepoint mean. Applying TAPE to orthogonal partial least squares models across five Chinese hamster ovary cell culture datasets (three Raman spectroscopy, one metabolomics, and one transcriptomics), several ostensibly strong models’ predictivity was largely explained by timepoint means alone. After removing between-timepoint variation, only models with sample–response relationships independent of time retained good predictivity. For Raman, only models for Raman-active analytes (glucose, lactate) remained predictive, whereas Raman-inactive ones (K+, NH4+) did not. In the omics studies, the models for titer, viable cell density, growth rate, and death rates were predominantly time-driven. By quantifying time’s contribution to model performance, TAPE helps prevent misleadingly good performance metrics and supports more reliable multivariate modeling of time-series bioprocess data.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer, 2026. Vol. 17, no 1, article id 20
Keywords [en]
Bioprocess monitoring, Chinese hamster ovary (CHO) cells, Metabolomics, Model prediction, Model validation, Multivariate calibration, Orthogonal partial least squares (OPLS), Raman spectroscopy, Time-series data, Transcriptomics
National Category
Analytical Chemistry
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-252262DOI: 10.1186/s40543-026-00538-zISI: 001730658300001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105035438112OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-252262DiVA, id: diva2:2054029
Available from: 2026-04-20 Created: 2026-04-20 Last updated: 2026-04-20Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

fulltext(4364 kB)33 downloads
File information
File name FULLTEXT01.pdfFile size 4364 kBChecksum SHA-512
79aa829edff1897745a4cd77f2cc087795946ab2876ae9fa4067c3f9a9e80cf63b426cf7f15363bf2a9331a367fff9642f541b1358c6c5d2f0a65d4e35062a04
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

Other links

Publisher's full textScopus

Authority records

Eriksson, AndreasTrygg, JohanAntti, HenrikJonsson, Pär

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Eriksson, AndreasTrygg, JohanAntti, HenrikJonsson, Pär
By organisation
Department of Chemistry
In the same journal
Journal of Analytical Science & Technology
Analytical Chemistry

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar
The number of downloads is the sum of all downloads of full texts. It may include eg previous versions that are now no longer available

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 176 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf