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The Sernbo score as a predictor of 1-year mortality after hip fracture: A registry study on 55,716 patients
Umeå universitet, Medicinska fakulteten, Institutionen för kirurgisk och perioperativ vetenskap, Ortopedi.
Department of Clinical Science, Intervention and Technology (CLINTEC), Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Department of Care Science, Faculty of Health and Society, Malmö University, Malmö, Sweden.
Department of Clinical Sciences at Danderyd Hospital (KIDS), Division of Orthopaedics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
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2021 (Engelska)Ingår i: European Journal of Trauma and Emergency Surgery, ISSN 1863-9933, E-ISSN 1863-9941, Vol. 47, nr 6, s. 2043-2048Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
Abstract [en]

Purpose: Patients sustaining a hip fracture have a high mortality rate during the first postoperative year and the Sernbo score may stratify patients into a high, intermediate and low risk of death during this period. We assessed its predictive properties on patients from the National Swedish Hip Fracture Register.

Patients and methods: 55,716 hip fracture patients, 69% women older than 65 years at surgery (registered between 2010 and 2015) with complete Sernbo scores and mortality data were studied. Receiver-operating characteristics analyses (ROC) were used. Validation of Sernbo score was performed.

Results: The overall 1-year mortality rate was 26%-and 17%, 27.4% and 55.6% in the low, intermediate and high-risk groups, respectively. The ROC analysis indicated a predictive ability of the Sernbo score, with an AUC of 0.69 (CI 0.68-0.69).

Conclusion: In this registry-based study, the easy-to-use Sernbo scoring system proved to be appropriate and useful way to identify hip fracture patients with a high-risk mortality during the first postoperative year.

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
Springer, 2021. Vol. 47, nr 6, s. 2043-2048
Nyckelord [en]
Hip fracture, Femoral neck fracture, Elderly, Mortality, Score
Nationell ämneskategori
Ortopedi
Forskningsämne
ortopedi
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-163443DOI: 10.1007/s00068-020-01375-4ISI: 000530290700001PubMedID: 32363412Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85085071455OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-163443DiVA, id: diva2:1352784
Anmärkning

Originally included in thesis in manuscript form with title "The modified Sernbo score as a predictor of 1-year mortality after hip fracture: A registry study on 55,716 patients".

Tillgänglig från: 2019-09-19 Skapad: 2019-09-19 Senast uppdaterad: 2022-04-21Bibliografiskt granskad
Ingår i avhandling
1. Studies on the complications and prediction of mortality after hip fracture surgery
Öppna denna publikation i ny flik eller fönster >>Studies on the complications and prediction of mortality after hip fracture surgery
2019 (Engelska)Doktorsavhandling, sammanläggning (Övrigt vetenskapligt)
Abstract [en]

An elderly patient who sustains a hip fracture has increased morbidity and mortality. Scandinavia presents the highest incidence annually of hip fractures worldwide. 

Femoral neck fracture (FNF) of the hip accounts for 50% of all hip fractures in geriatric patients. Intertrochanteric and subtrochanteric femoral fracture accounts for the other 50%. Hip fracture patients are plagued with a high 1-year mortality rate ranging from 8% to 36%. Complications of hip fracture surgery after arthroplasty generally include periprosthetic fracture (PPF), periprosthetic joint infection (PJI), and dislocation. 

Treatent regarding FNF has improved in the last decade. Arthroplasties are currently the standard treatment for displaced FNFs in the elderly. The surgical treatment of PPF can be technically demanding, with a high frequency of complications due to deep infection, dislocation and intraoperative fractures. Some prosthetic designs have been reported.

PJIs are associated with prolonged antibiotic treatment, multiple revision surgeries, prolonged hospital stays, late aseptic loosening and poor functional outcome for the patients. A widely accepted treatment of choice for acute deep PJIs comprises debridement, antibiotics and implant retention (DAIR).

There are currently several models for predicting mortality with the aim of identifying and optimizing patients at risk. The Sernbo score was initially developed as a guidance tool for the orthopedic surgeon in decision making in hip fracture surgery.

Study I: This was a prospective cohort study of patients with FNFs treated with hemiarthroplasty or total arthroplasty. The aim of this study was to compare the risk for PPF between the straight, highly, polished, tapered (CPT) stem and the matte anatomic SPII stem. It was found that the CPT stem imposed a higher risk of postoperative PPF.

Study II: This was a retrospective multicenter cohort study of patients with FNFs treated with total or hemiarthroplasty. The aim of this study was to compare the risk for PPF between the straight, highly polished, tapered Exeter stem and the matte anatomic SPII stem. It was found that Exeter stem imposed a higher risk of sustaining a PPF.

Study III: This was a retrospective cohort study of patients treated with a primary hip arthroplasty (hemi- or total hip) for a displaced FNF. The primary aim of this study was to identify the frequency of PJI and to evaluate the success rate of DAIR. The secondary aim was to analyze the risk factors for developing PJI. It was found that DAIR had a high short- term success rate and that the need for repeated bandage changes indicates an increased risk of PJI and should prompt early surgical intervention.

Study IV: This was a retrospective study with the aim of validating the Sernbo score for predicting mortality after hip replacement for a displaced FNF in elderly patients. The Sernbo score (based on age, habitat, walking aids and mental state) can be used to stratify patients into groups with different one-year mortality rates. The score can be calculated using information obtained during routine orthopedic patient assessments.The Sernbo score was found to identify patients at high risk of dying in the first postoperative year.

Study V: This was a retrospective registry study. All patients who sustained a hip fracture and registered in “Rikshöft” (a Swedish database for hip fracture) were included. The aim of this study was to validate the Sernbo score for predicting mortality after hip fracture in elderly patients on a registry-based level. It was found that the Sernbo score can be used to stratify patients into groups with different one-year mortality rates.

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
Umeå: Umeå universitet, 2019
Serie
Umeå University medical dissertations, ISSN 0346-6612 ; 2049
Nyckelord
Hip fracture, femoral neck fracture, treatment, total hip arthroplasty, hemiarthroplasty, internal fixation, outcome, infection, periprosthetic joint infection, mortality
Nationell ämneskategori
Ortopedi
Identifikatorer
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-163442 (URN)978-91-7855-101-9 (ISBN)
Disputation
2019-10-11, Sal B, Tandläkarhögskolan, 9 tr, Norrlands universitetssjukhus, Umeå, 13:00 (Svenska)
Opponent
Handledare
Tillgänglig från: 2019-09-20 Skapad: 2019-09-19 Senast uppdaterad: 2019-11-26Bibliografiskt granskad

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