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Report 35: How can we keep schools and universities open? Differentiating closures by economic sector to optimize social and economic activity while containing SARS-CoV-2 transmission
Umeå University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Umeå School of Business and Economics (USBE), Economics. MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis & WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling, Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-1377-9469
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2020 (English)Report (Other academic)
Abstract [en]

There is a trade-off between the education sector and other economic sectors in the control of SARS-CoV-2 transmission. Here we integrate a dynamic model of SARS-CoV-2 transmission with a 63-sector economic model reflecting sectoral heterogeneity in transmission and economic interdependence between sectors. We identify control strategies which optimize economic production while keeping schools and universities operational and constraining infections such that emergency hospital capacity is not exceeded. The model estimates an economic gain of between £163bn and £205bn for the United Kingdom compared to a blanket lockdown of non-essential activity over six months, depending on hospital capacity. Sectors identified as potential priorities for closure are contact-intensive and/or less economically productive.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Imperial College COVID-19 response team , 2020. , p. 55
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Social Sciences
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URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-179147DOI: 10.25561/83929OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-179147DiVA, id: diva2:1522380
Available from: 2021-01-26 Created: 2021-01-26 Last updated: 2021-01-26Bibliographically approved

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Forchini, Giovanni

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf