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The societal value of SARS-CoV-2 booster vaccination in Indonesia
MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis & WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling, Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, United Kingdom.
MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis & WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling, Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, United Kingdom; Eijkman-Oxford Clinical Research Unit, Jakarta, Indonesia.
MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis & WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling, Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, United Kingdom.
MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis & WHO Collaborating Centre for Infectious Disease Modelling, Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics, Imperial College London, United Kingdom.
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2023 (Engelska)Ingår i: Vaccine, ISSN 0264-410X, E-ISSN 1873-2518, Vol. 41, nr 11, s. 1885-1891Artikel i tidskrift (Refereegranskat) Published
Abstract [en]

Objectives: To estimate the expected socio-economic value of booster vaccination in terms of averted deaths and averted closures of businesses and schools using simulation modelling.

Methods: The value of booster vaccination in Indonesia is estimated by comparing simulated societal costs under a twelve-month, 187-million–dose Moderna booster vaccination campaign to costs without boosters. The costs of an epidemic and its mitigation consist of lost lives, economic closures and lost education; cost-minimising non-pharmaceutical mitigation is chosen for each scenario.

Results: The cost-minimising non-pharmaceutical mitigation depends on the availability of vaccines: the differences between the two scenarios are 14 to 19 million years of in-person education and $153 to $204 billion in economic activity. The value of the booster campaign ranges from $2,500 ($1,400-$4,100) to $2,800 ($1,700-$4,600) per dose in the first year, depending on life-year valuations.

Conclusions: The societal benefits of booster vaccination are substantial. Much of the value of vaccination resides in the reduced need for costly non-pharmaceutical mitigation. We propose cost minimisation as a tool for policy decision-making and valuation of vaccination, taking into account all socio-economic costs, and not averted deaths alone.

Ort, förlag, år, upplaga, sidor
Elsevier, 2023. Vol. 41, nr 11, s. 1885-1891
Nyckelord [en]
COVID-19, Economics, Education, Non-pharmaceutical, Vaccination
Nationell ämneskategori
Nationalekonomi
Identifikatorer
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-205638DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2023.01.068ISI: 000965802200001PubMedID: 36781331Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85149213394OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-205638DiVA, id: diva2:1743115
Forskningsfinansiär
Jan Wallanders och Tom Hedelius stiftelseTore Browaldhs stiftelse, P19-0110Tillgänglig från: 2023-03-14 Skapad: 2023-03-14 Senast uppdaterad: 2023-09-05Bibliografiskt granskad

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Forchini, Giovanni

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