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Better off in the city? Economic outcomes of rural out‐migration in Sweden: sibling study of cohorts 1960–1984
Umeå University, Faculty of Arts, Department of historical, philosophical and religious studies. Umeå University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Centre for Demographic and Ageing Research (CEDAR).ORCID iD: 0009-0000-0050-8486
Umeå University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Centre for Demographic and Ageing Research (CEDAR).ORCID iD: 0000-0003-1527-279X
2024 (English)In: Population, Space and Place, ISSN 1544-8444, E-ISSN 1544-8452, Vol. 30, no 6, article id e2765Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This study examines disparities in income levels and employment status between individuals who migrate from rural areas and their siblings who remained in rural settings in Sweden for cohorts born 1960–1984. Utilizing comprehensive Swedish register data, we track the economic outcomes at age 35 or rural residents who migrated between ages 15 and 25, comparing them to non-migrating siblings. Our analysis, employing binomial logit and log-linear models for employment odds and income levels, respectively, reveals that while rural out-migration generally leads to higher income, it does not significantly impact employment status. The study underscores the role of individual and family-specific factors—such as gender and education—and broader time- and place-dependent structures in mediating migration's effects. We find that income disparity between migrants and non-migrants has increased since the 1990s and that the differences increase with the urbanization level of the destination.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
John Wiley & Sons, 2024. Vol. 30, no 6, article id e2765
Keywords [en]
life course, rural migration, siblings, Sweden
National Category
History Economic Geography
Research subject
Population studies; Historical Demography
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-222610DOI: 10.1002/psp.2765ISI: 001188627000001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85189031646OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-222610DiVA, id: diva2:1846370
Available from: 2024-03-22 Created: 2024-03-22 Last updated: 2024-08-20Bibliographically approved
In thesis
1. Rural migration regimes: long-term trends in northern Sweden 1850-2019
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Rural migration regimes: long-term trends in northern Sweden 1850-2019
2024 (English)Doctoral thesis, comprehensive summary (Other academic)
Alternative title[sv]
Migrationsregimer på landsbygd : långsiktiga trender i norra Sverige 1850-2019
Abstract [en]

The aim of this thesis is to describe and analyze the dynamics of rural migration in northern Sweden,focusing on how these dynamics were influenced by and contributed to societal restructuring from 1850 to2019. During this long time period, rural living went from being the norm to exceedingly more uncommonas Sweden transitioned from an agrarian to a modern industrial and later service-based economy. To asignificant extent, this transition has been fueled by rural-urban migration and has had adverseconsequences for rural areas, particularly in northern Sweden. The study utilizes both historical populationregisters and modern national public authority registers to quantitatively investigate the development ofrural migration through more than a century and a half of societal restructuring. Specifically, the intensity,direction, timing, economic outcomes, and selectivity of migration. The results highlight how regionalspecificities, economic transformations, and structural changes have shaped rural migration patterns innorthern Sweden over time, with effects ranging from the population to the individual level.

Four main migration regimes with distinctive features were discerned by analyzing trends and patterns inrural migration over time. The thesis shows how these regimes have been produced by the interplay betweenthe specific regional conditions found in northern Sweden and the long-term economic and societalrestructuring of the country. A pre-industrial migration regime was dominant up until the late 19th centurywhen the predominantly agricultural economy of Sweden shaped rural migration. This regime wassucceeded by both an early and late industrial regime from the 1880s up until the 1960s, where theincreasing dominance of urban-industrial life and the expansion of the secondary sector of the economystarted to increasingly influence the way in which rural folk moved. From the 1970s onward, what can bestbe described as a post-industrial regime has characterized the northern rural migration, as higher educationand the tertiary sector have increasingly influenced rural migration behavior and outcomes. In essence,rural migration in northern Sweden has been shaped by economic, demographic, institutional, andnormative changes since the mid-19th century. The increasingly urban-centered society has influenced thelife trajectories of rural residents, shaping the migration dynamics in rural areas in incremental steps overthis extended period of time.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Umeå: Umeå University, 2024. p. 97
Series
Report from the Demographic Data Base, ISSN 0349-5132 ; 36
Keywords
Rural migration, Industrialization, Life-course, Sparsely populated regions, Rural/Urban relationship, Sweden
National Category
History
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-224026 (URN)978-91-8070-373-4 (ISBN)978-91-8070-374-1 (ISBN)
Public defence
2024-06-07, Hörsal HUMD.220, Humanisthuset, Umeå universitet, Umeå, 10:00 (English)
Opponent
Supervisors
Available from: 2024-05-17 Created: 2024-05-06 Last updated: 2024-07-02Bibliographically approved

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Sundvall, SamuelJunkka, Johan

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • apa-6th-edition.csl
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
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  • asciidoc
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