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A transdisciplinary, comparative analysis reveals key risks from Arctic permafrost thaw
Department of Social and Cultural Anthropology, University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria; Austrian Polar Research Institute (APRI), Vienna, Austria.
Umeå University, Faculty of Science and Technology, Department of Ecology and Environmental Sciences. Department of Environmental & Resource Engineering, Technical University of Denmark, Kongens Lyngby, Denmark.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7595-507X
Department of Social and Cultural Anthropology, University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria; Austrian Polar Research Institute (APRI), Vienna, Austria.
Department of Environmental Health Sciences, College of Health Sciences, University of Sharjah, Sharjah, United Arab Emirates; Research Unit of Biomedicine and Internal Medicine, University of Oulu, Oulu, Finland.
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2025 (English)In: Communications Earth & Environment, E-ISSN 2662-4435, Vol. 6, no 1, article id 21Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Permafrost thaw poses diverse risks to Arctic environments and livelihoods. Understanding the effects of permafrost thaw is vital for informed policymaking and adaptation efforts. Here, we present the consolidated findings of a risk analysis spanning four study regions: Longyearbyen (Svalbard, Norway), the Avannaata municipality (Greenland), the Beaufort Sea region and the Mackenzie River Delta (Canada) and the Bulunskiy District of the Sakha Republic (Russia). Local stakeholders' and scientists' perceptions shaped our understanding of the risks as dynamic, socionatural phenomena involving physical processes, key hazards, and societal consequences. Through an inter- and transdisciplinary risk analysis based on multidirectional knowledge exchanges and thematic network analysis, we identified five key hazards of permafrost thaw. These include infrastructure failure, disruption of mobility and supplies, decreased water quality, challenges for food security, and exposure to diseases and contaminants. The study's novelty resides in the comparative approach spanning different disciplines, environmental and societal contexts, and the transdisciplinary synthesis considering various risk perceptions.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature, 2025. Vol. 6, no 1, article id 21
National Category
Climate Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-236122DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01883-wISI: 001401402600003PubMedID: 39830898Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85218114608OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-236122DiVA, id: diva2:1942952
Funder
EU, Horizon 2020, 773421EU, Horizon 2020, 101133587Academy of Finland, 356604
Note

Correction: Gartler, S., Scheer, J., Meyer, A. et al. Author Correction: A transdisciplinary, comparative analysis reveals key risks from Arctic permafrost thaw. Commun Earth Environ 6, 234 (2025). DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02204-5

Available from: 2025-03-07 Created: 2025-03-07 Last updated: 2025-04-15Bibliographically approved

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Scheer, Johanna

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