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On the effects of changing mortality patterns on investment, labour and consumption under uncertainty
Adam Smith Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, G12 8QQ, United Kingdom.
University of Leicester, Department of Mathematics, Leicester, LE1 7RH, United Kingdom.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5700-8378
2017 (English)In: Insurance, Mathematics & Economics, ISSN 0167-6687, E-ISSN 1873-5959, Vol. 73, p. 105-115Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In this paper we extend the consumption–investment life cycle model for an uncertain-lived agent, proposed by Richard (1974), to allow for flexible labour supply. We further study the consumption, labour supply and portfolio decisions of an agent facing age-dependent mortality risk, as presented by UK actuarial life tables spanning the time period from 1951–2060 (including mortality forecasts). We find that historical changes in mortality produce significant changes in portfolio investment (more risk taking), labour (decrease of hours) and consumption level (shift to higher level) contributing up to 5% to GDP growth during the period from 1980 until 2010.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2017. Vol. 73, p. 105-115
Keywords [en]
Life-cycles, Portfolio investment, Flexible labour, Age-dependent mortality rates, Uncertain lifetime
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-238878DOI: 10.1016/j.insmatheco.2017.01.008ISI: 000399627200011Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85013130697OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-238878DiVA, id: diva2:1958787
Available from: 2025-05-16 Created: 2025-05-16 Last updated: 2025-05-20Bibliographically approved

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Ewald, Christian-Oliver

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