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Minimal variance hedging of natural gas derivatives in exponential Lévy models: theory and empirical performance
Adam Smith Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, G12 8QQ, United Kingdom.
School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW 2006, Australia.
Department of Actuarial Studies, Faculty of Business and Economics, Macquarie University, Sydney, NSW 2109, Australia.
2013 (English)In: Energy Economics, ISSN 0140-9883, E-ISSN 1873-6181, Vol. 36, p. 97-107Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

We consider the problem of hedging European options written on natural gas futures, in a market where prices of traded assets exhibit jumps, by trading in the underlying asset. We provide a general expression for the hedging strategy which minimizes the variance of the terminal hedging error, in terms of stochastic integral representations of the payoffs of the options involved. This formula is then applied to compute hedge ratios for common options in various models with jumps, leading to easily computable expressions. As a benchmark we take the standard Black–Scholes and Merton delta hedges. We show that in natural gas option markets minimal variance hedging with underlying consistently outperform the benchmarks by quite a margin.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2013. Vol. 36, p. 97-107
Keywords [en]
Quadratic hedging, Jump-diffusion models, Natural gas options, Energy derivatives, Resource economics
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-238890DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2012.12.004ISI: 000316240100007Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-84872421218OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-238890DiVA, id: diva2:1958806
Funder
Australian Research CouncilAvailable from: 2025-05-16 Created: 2025-05-16 Last updated: 2025-05-21Bibliographically approved

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Ewald, Christian-Oliver

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  • apa
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  • de-DE
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  • nn-NB
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Output format
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  • asciidoc
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