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Privatization of businesses and flexible investment: a real option approach
School of Economics and Finance, University of St. Andrews, St. Andrews, Fife, KY16 9AL, UK.
School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia; Center for Dynamic Macro Economic Analysis, University of St. Andrews, St. Andrews, Fife, KY16 9AL, UK.
2011 (English)In: Decisions in Economics and Finance, ISSN 1593-8883, E-ISSN 1129-6569, Vol. 35, no 1, p. 75-89Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In this article, we study the situation, where the opportunity is given to invest into a government-owned business by partial privatization to a private company. After payment of an initial installment cost, the private company’s investments are flexible within a range [0, k] until the business is completed. We model the problem in a real option framework, using geometric mean reversion to describe the dynamics of the business. We determine the optimal time for the private company to enter and pay the initial installment cost as well as the optimal dynamic investment strategy that it follows afterward. For the latter, analytic solution cannot be obtained. We use quadratic splines in order to solve the corresponding dynamic programming problem. Finally, we determine the optimal degree of privatization in our model from the government’s perspective.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer, 2011. Vol. 35, no 1, p. 75-89
Keywords [en]
Investment decisions, Privatization, Real options, Industrial organization, Stochastic optimal control, Dynamic programming
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-238893DOI: 10.1007/s10203-011-0115-1ISI: 000455417400004Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-84858795591OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-238893DiVA, id: diva2:1958809
Available from: 2025-05-16 Created: 2025-05-16 Last updated: 2025-05-21Bibliographically approved

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Ewald, Christian-Oliver

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  • nn-NB
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