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Compressing regularized dynamics improves link prediction with the map equation in sparse networks
Umeå University, Faculty of Science and Technology, Department of Computing Science. Integrated Science Lab, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0009-0009-9224-4646
Data Analytics Group, Department of Informatics, University of Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland; Chair of Machine Learning for Complex Networks, Center for Artificial Intelligence and Data Science (CAIDAS), University of Würzburg, Würzburg, Germany.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7881-2496
Umeå University, Faculty of Science and Technology, Department of Computing Science.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7119-7646
Umeå University, Faculty of Science and Technology, Department of Physics. Integrated Science Lab, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-7181-9940
2025 (English)In: Physical review. E, ISSN 2470-0045, E-ISSN 2470-0053, Vol. 111, no 5, article id 054314Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Predicting future interactions or novel links in networks is an indispensable tool across diverse domains, including genetic research, online social networks, and recommendation systems. Among the numerous techniques developed for link prediction, those leveraging the networks' community structure have proven highly effective. For example, the recently proposed MapSim predicts links based on a similarity measure derived from the code structure of the map equation, a community-detection objective function that operates on network flows. However, the standard map equation assumes complete observations and typically identifies many small modules in networks where the nodes connect through only a few links. This aspect can degrade MapSim's performance on sparse networks. To overcome this limitation, we propose to incorporate a global regularization method based on a Bayesian estimate of the transition rates along with three local regularization methods. The regularized versions of the map equation compensate for incomplete observations and mitigate spurious community fragmentation in sparse networks. The regularized methods outperform standard MapSim and several state-of-the-art embedding methods in highly sparse networks. This performance holds across multiple real-world networks with randomly removed links, simulating incomplete observations. Among the proposed regularization methods, the global approach provides the most reliable community detection and the highest link prediction performance across different network densities. The principled method requires no hyperparameter tuning and runs at least an order of magnitude faster than the embedding methods.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
American Physical Society, 2025. Vol. 111, no 5, article id 054314
National Category
Statistical physics and complex systems Other Computer and Information Science
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-239088DOI: 10.1103/physreve.111.054314Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105005834751OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-239088DiVA, id: diva2:1960573
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 2022-06725Swedish Research Council, 2023-03705Knut and Alice Wallenberg FoundationAvailable from: 2025-05-23 Created: 2025-05-23 Last updated: 2025-06-02Bibliographically approved

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Lindström, MajaBlöcker, ChristopherLöfstedt, TommyRosvall, Martin

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