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Smoothing of bivariate test score distributions: model selection targeting test score equating
Lancaster University, United Kingdom.
Umeå University, Faculty of Social Sciences, Umeå School of Business and Economics (USBE), Statistics.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-5549-8262
2026 (English)In: Journal of educational and behavioral statistics, ISSN 1076-9986, E-ISSN 1935-1054, Vol. 51, no 1, p. 3-37Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Observed-score test equating is a vital part of every testing program, aiming to make test scores across test administrations comparable. Central to this process is the equating function, typically estimated by composing distribution functions of the scores to be equated. An integral part of this estimation is presmoothing, where statistical models are fit to observed score frequencies to mitigate sampling variability. This study evaluates the impact of commonly used model fit indices on bivariate presmoothing model-selection accuracy in both item response theory (IRT) and non-IRT settings. It also introduces a new model-selection criterion that directly targets the equating function in contrast to existing methods. The study focuses on the framework of non-equivalent groups with anchor test design, estimating bivariate score distributions based on real and simulated data. Results show that the choice of presmoothing model and model fit criterion influences the equated scores. In non-IRT contexts, a combination of the proposed model-selection criterion and the Bayesian information criterion exhibited superior performance, balancing bias, and variance of the equated scores. For IRT models, high selection accuracy and minimal equating error were achieved across all scenarios.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Sage Publications, 2026. Vol. 51, no 1, p. 3-37
Keywords [en]
item response theory, log-linear models, model-selection, smoothing, test score equating
National Category
Probability Theory and Statistics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-240948DOI: 10.3102/10769986241300523ISI: 001388830400001Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105007825362OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-240948DiVA, id: diva2:1979793
Funder
Swedish Research Council, 2020-06484Marianne and Marcus Wallenberg Foundation, MMWAvailable from: 2025-07-01 Created: 2025-07-01 Last updated: 2026-03-31Bibliographically approved

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Wiberg, Marie

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