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Post COVID-19 condition phenotypes: A prospective cohort study identifying four symptom clusters and their impact on long-term outcomes
Department of Infectious Diseases, Karlstad Hospital, Karlstad, Sweden; Centre for Clinical Research and Education, Region Värmland, Karlstad, Sweden; Faculty of Medicine and Health, School of Medical Sciences, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.
Umeå University, Faculty of Science and Technology, Department of Physics.ORCID iD: 0000-0002-9313-3499
Umeå University, Faculty of Medicine, Department of Clinical Microbiology.
Department of Respiratory Medicine, Faculty of Medicine and Health, Örebro University, Örebro, Sweden.
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2025 (English)In: Journal of Infection and Public Health, ISSN 1876-0341, E-ISSN 1876-035X, Vol. 18, no 12, article id 102994Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Background: Current evidence indicates that Post COVID-19 Condition (PCC) is multifaceted with distinct phenotypes. While previous studies have identified symptom clusters—commonly featuring fatigue, respiratory symptoms, and cognitive impairment—findings have been inconsistent, and no clear consensus exists. Moreover, how these symptom clusters evolve over time, particularly beyond the first year post-infection, remains poorly understood.

Methods: This multicentre prospective cohort study included 470 hospitalised and non-hospitalised adult individuals from the CoVUm study across four sites in Sweden between 2020 and 2021. Follow-ups were conducted up to 3 years after infection to assess persistent symptoms, health-related quality of life (HRQoL), and work capacity. Symptom clusters at 6 months were identified via hierarchical cluster analysis, and participants were tracked using a k-nearest neighbour algorithm.

Results: The most common symptoms at 6 months were fatigue (33 %), dyspnoea (32 %), mental fatigue (30 %), and concentration difficulties (28 %), with a median EQ-5D-5L index of 0.98 (IQR 0.93–1). Four distinct symptom clusters were identified: (i) “Few Symptoms” (n = 265, 57 %), (ii) “Respiratory Symptoms” (n = 66, 14 %), (iii) “Neurocognitive Symptoms” (n = 75, 16 %), and (iv) “Multisystem Symptoms” (n = 52, 11 %). Participants in the latter three clusters were older, had more comorbidities, and were more often hospitalised during primary COVID-19 infection. These clusters also had significantly lower HRQoL compared to the “Few Symptoms” cluster. Over time, more than half of participants transitioned to a cluster with fewer or no symptoms, with significant perceived HRQoL improvement in the “Multisystem Symptoms” cluster.

Conclusion: While many patients with PCC improved over time, a subset had persistent symptoms at 3 years, especially if primary infection required hospitalisation. The identification of symptom clusters and their trajectories over time contributes to a better understanding of PCC heterogeneity, ultimately bringing the field closer to consensus on the classification and long-term impact of PCC.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2025. Vol. 18, no 12, article id 102994
Keywords [en]
Clusters, COVID-19, HRQoL, Long-covid, Post COVID-19 condition, Symptoms
National Category
Infectious Medicine
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:umu:diva-245725DOI: 10.1016/j.jiph.2025.102994PubMedID: 41086513Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105018607972OAI: oai:DiVA.org:umu-245725DiVA, id: diva2:2008259
Funder
Sjukvårdsregionala forskningsrådet Mellansverige, RFR-OLL-961416Swedish Research Council, 2020–06235Swedish Research Council, 2016–06514Swedish Heart Lung Foundation, 20200325Swedish Heart Lung Foundation, 20210078Region Västerbotten, #RV-938855Umeå UniversityRegion Värmland, LIVFOU-939646Region VästmanlandKnut and Alice Wallenberg Foundation, VC-2020–0015Available from: 2025-10-22 Created: 2025-10-22 Last updated: 2025-11-25Bibliographically approved

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Barros, GuilhermePersson, Ida-LisaForsell, Mattias N. E.Ahlm, ClasLind, AliciaNormark, Johan

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Barros, GuilhermePersson, Ida-LisaForsell, Mattias N. E.Ahlm, ClasLind, AliciaNormark, Johan
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Department of PhysicsDepartment of Clinical MicrobiologyUmeå Centre for Microbial Research (UCMR)Department of Diagnostics and InterventionMolecular Infection Medicine Sweden (MIMS)
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Journal of Infection and Public Health
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